1.1        The transformation of security

1.1.1          Source: by Michael Renner, Worldwatch

For 50 years, sustained by the cold war, "security" has been defined primarily in military terms. Backed by doomsday nuclear arsenals, the cold war adversaries were locked in mortal competition.

But now that the cold war has faded away, a very different struggle for survival is emerging. After the slaying of the cold war dragon, James Woolsey, former head of the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency, compared the future to living in a jungle inhabited by a bewildering variety of poisonous snakes. There has been a shift from war between sovereign states to fighting within societies.

Since the end of World War II, there have been at least 130 wars, killing more than 23 million people directly and another 20 million through famine and other war-related disruptions. Whereas the number of major wars--killing at least 1,000 persons--stood at around a dozen in any given year during the fifties, and rose no higher than 20 a year during the sixties and seventies, it surged at the beginning of the eighties to more than 30, where it has remained ever since.

And as many countries may be bordering on war as are actually engaged in it. The post-cold war era is increasingly witnessing a phenomenon of what some have called "failed states"--the implosion of countries like Rwanda, Somalia, Yugoslavia, and others. Several other countries are among the ranks of what Professor James Rosenau of George Washington University calls "adrift nation-states"--countries that "have lost their moorings and may well be moving toward the edge of failure."

The outbreak of civil wars and the collapse of entire societies is being ascribed to the resurfacing of "ancient ethnic hatreds" revolving around seemingly irreconcilable religious and cultural differences. Professor Samuel Huntington of Harvard University went so far as to postulate a coming "clash of civilizations"--ethnically motivated communal violence. Some 40 percent of all countries have populations from five or more different "nations." Roughly half of the world's countries have experienced some kind of interethnic strife in recent years.

Bosnia, Rwanda, and Somalia have shown that the abundance and easy availability of arms can turn social and political upheaval into a violent disintegration of entire countries, triggering devastation on a massive scale. Although the public impression of the Rwandan conflict, for example, is mainly one of machete-wielding individuals on a rampage, the killing was in fact also conducted with machine guns, grenades, mortars, and land mines purchased from France, Egypt, South Africa, and another dozen or so arms suppliers that rushed in "like vultures to a carcass," as Stephen Goose and Frank Smyth of the Human Rights Watch Arms Project wrote in Foreign Affairs.

The twentieth century has seen the pursuit of "national security" elevated to near theological levels; modern military technology has dramatically increased the destructive power of weaponry, the range and speed of delivery vehicles, and the sophistication of targeting technologies. Yet arms ostensibly designed to enhance security increasingly imperil humanity's survival. We live in what is the most violent time in human history: the twentieth century accounts for 75 percent of all war deaths inflicted since the rise of the Roman Empire

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1.2        Wars Rage in Third of World Nations

1.2.1          Source: Tom Raum, Associated Press

1.2.1.1         Date: January 1, 1999

WASHINGTON –– The century came to a close with a third of the world's 193 nations embroiled in conflict, nearly twice the Cold War level, a group that keeps track of battle zones reported Wednesday.

In its annual report, the National Defense Council Foundation blamed rising military coups and a backlash against democracy, a trend it suggested could continue for several years.

The foundation listed 65 conflicts in 1999, up from 60 the year before. It nominated Afghanistan as the world's most unstable state for 2000 – followed closely by Somalia, Iraq, Angola and the breakaway Chechnya region of Russia.

"It's going to be a very tough next 20 years," retired Army Maj. Andy Messing Jr., executive director of the Alexandria, Va.-based foundation, said in an interview. He said the growing proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and an increasing world population add to the danger.

"The bipolar 'Cold War' system has disintegrated into a system of 'Warm Wars,' with randomized conflicts popping up in all corners of an interdependent world," the report said.

It cited a recent erosion of democratic advances, including military coups in Guinea-Bissau, Pakistan, Niger and Comoros and a slide back toward authoritarianism in Venezuela, Russia and Haiti. The list included cross-border wars, such as between Ethiopia and Eritrea; and civil wars such as those in Afghanistan, Sri Lanka, Sudan and the Democratic Republic of Congo. It also included major insurgencies.

Russia made the list because of separatist wars in Chechnya and its neighbor to the east, Dagestan, terrorism and organized crime activity. China was included based on "political turmoil," the Beijing government's crackdown on religious dissidents and tensions over Taiwan and the Spratly Islands in the South China Sea. Kosovo and East Timor, where international military intervention was used to end internal violence and human-rights violations, were among places added to the list.

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1.3        War criminal or hero?

1.3.1          Source: By Charley Reese, The Orlando Sentinel

1.3.1.1         Date: December 1999

Atomic BlastIt has been 54 years since the first atomic bomb fell from the belly of a B-29 and destroyed most of Hiroshima, a city in southwest Honshu, the most populous of Japan's islands.

The single bomb killed 118,661 people. It severely injured 30,524. It less severely injured 48,606. And that bomb, compared with today's hydrogen bombs lying about here and there, was a hand grenade.

I bring this up in part to put the current day's propaganda into some perspective. Serbia, for example, was accused of "genocide" at a time when only 2,000 people, both Serb and Albanian, had been killed in a little civil war during a two-year period in an obscure Balkan province. That's 2,000 in two years compared with 118,000 in a fraction of a minute. But guess who's getting called war criminals.

I'm opposed to so-called war crimes. Only the winners get to decide who is a war criminal, and the "criminals" are, of course, all on the losing side.

It is one of the more heinous perversions of language and morality to purport that killing unarmed civilians with rifles is a war crime but that killing the same unarmed civilians with a bomb or an artillery shell is just "collateral damage."

Nearly all of the Hiroshima and Nagasaki victims, not to mention all those who died in the Tokyo firestorm we started, were unarmed civilians--old men, women, children, babies. We knew that at the time we killed them. But because we won the war, we were not declared war criminals or terrorists.

So whether one is a war criminal or a war hero depends on whether one is on the winning or the losing side. War itself is a crime against humanity just like Ernest Hemingway said. If war comes, you have to fight it, but you don't have to lie about what you are doing.

I suspect that, given the low caliber of public officials and the apparent consensus that the American government should pursue an imperialistic foreign policy, there is another war waiting for us somewhere down the road. There is no use kidding ourselves that a U.S. attempt to dominate the world won't meet with resistance. This war won't be one of those easy muggings of a small country but a war that will teach a new generation of Americans what war really is.

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1.4        100 million dead this centrury

1.4.1          Source: Awake!

1.4.1.1         Date: December 1999

What do you want to be when you grow up? -- Alive At the Imperial War Museum in London, England, visitors are intrigued by a unique clock and digital counter. This clock does not keep time. Its purpose is to help people grasp the magnitude of a central feature of this century--war. As the hand of the clock rotates, the counter adds another number to its tally every 3.31 seconds. Each number represents a man, woman or child who has died as a result of war during the 20th century.

At midnight on December 31, 1999, the counting will end and it will register 100 million, a conservative estimate of the number of those who have died in war during the past 100 years.

Imagine, 100 million people! Yet that statistic reveals nothing about the terrors and pain experienced by the victims. Neither does it describe the suffering of the loved ones of those who died--the countless millions of mothers and fathers, sisters and brothers, widows and orphans. What the statistic does tell us is this: Ours has been by far the most destructive century in all human history; its savagery is unparalleled.

The history of the 20th century also shows to what extent humans have become expert in the craft of killing. Throughout history the development of new weapons went slowly until the 20th century, which has produced an avalanche of weapons. When the first world war began in 1914, the armies of Europe included men on horseback, armed with lances. Today, with the help of satellite sensors and computerized guidance systems, missiles can deliver death to any part of the Earth, with astonishing accuracy. The intervening years have seen the development and perfecting of guns, tanks, submarines, warplanes, biological and chemical weapons, and, of course, "the bomb."

When the Cold War ended in 1989, many expressed confidence in a peaceful world order. Still, war continued. During the next seven years, an estimated 101 conflicts raged in various places. Most were wars not between states but within states. They were fought by opposing groups with unsophisticated weapons. In Rwanda, for example, much of the killing was done with machetes.

Meanwhile, in the rich nations of the world, high-tech weapon development continues apace. Sensors--whether deployed in the air, in space, in the ocean, or on the ground--enable a modern army to see more quickly and clearly than ever before, even in difficult terrain such as jungles. As the new technologies are perfected and integrated, "distance warfare" moves toward reality, enabling an army to see everything, hit everything, and destroy much that an enemy has.

In considering the prospect of future war, we should not forget the menacing presence of nuclear weapons. The Futurist magazine predicts: "The continuing proliferation of atomic weapons makes it increasingly likely that we shall have one or more atomic wars within the next 30 years. In addition, atomic weapons may be used by terrorists."

What has frustrated efforts to achieve global peace? An obvious factor is that the human family is fragmented into nations and cultures that distrust, hate or fear one another. There are conflicting values, perceptions and goals. Furthermore, use of military power has for millenniums been seen as a legitimate way to pursue national interests. After acknowledging this situation, a report from the Strategic Studies Institute of the U.S. Army War College stated: "To many, this implied that peace would only come with world government."

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1.5        Russia warned that it can overwhelm any anti-ballistic missile system

1.5.1          Source: Yahoo!

1.5.1.1         Date: Oct 26,1999

Moscow warned the United States Monday that it has enough weapons to overwhelm any anti-ballistic missile system, and threatened to deploy more atomic warheads if Washington builds a national missile defense system, Reuters quoted the Washington Post report. Nikolai Mikhailov, first deputy defense minister, told the Post the technology was available and would be used if ``the United States pushes us toward it.'' His comments followed last week's meeting between Russian and U.S. officials to discuss possible amendments to the 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty (ABM).

Russia's key method of trying to overcome any missile defenses would be to deploy more nuclear warheads atop its missiles, in the calculation that it could outnumber and penetrate any defensive shield, the Post said. Mikhailov gave few specifics, but said Russia could target any ABM facility with a nuclear warhead.

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1.6        Is Russia planning Mideast attack?

1.6.1          Source: Joseph Farah, WorldNetDaily.com

1.6.1.1         Date: September 1, 1999

Joseph de Courcy, editor of the well-respected journal Intelligence Digest reports this week: "While NATO congratulates itself on bombing the Serbs into submission, Israel's Mossad and other Middle Eastern intelligence sources have discovered that Kosovo was one humiliation too many for Russia. Now Moscow has agreed to back Saddam's secret plan of revenge. With this all-important Russian backing, Saddam is joining with hated Iran and Syria to launch one final war against Israel. Amazingly, Saddam will allow Iranian troops to cross Iraqi territory to join the attack on Israel. And to keep America from interfering, Moscow has given Osama bin Laden and other terrorists the means to attack American population centers with weapons of mass destruction. The threat is real ... and the implications terrifying. ..."

These are not the rantings of some self-proclaimed geo-strategic analyst. Joseph de Courcy is one of the most well-respected intelligence journalists in the world.

His report is nothing short of shocking. Yet it confirms and supports the research being done by WorldNetDaily's J.R. Nyquist, author of "Origins of the Fourth World War." I believe, based on trends obvious to anyone capable of picking up a daily newspaper today (online or off) that there is an excellent chance Russia and/or China may embark on a major military adventure before 2001.

Why? There is almost no chance America will be weaker militarily than it is right now during the remainder of the Clinton administration. We've hit rock bottom -- deliberately, because of the conscious policies of a president who is un-American to the core and who would sell out the memory of his own dead mother if he thought there were an opportunity for even momentary political gain.

Unless some equally unpatriotic, characterless leader hell-bent on national suicide is selected to be commander in chief, the military is bound to at least recover some ground lost during the last seven years.

Yeah, if there were ever an opportunity to surprise the U.S. when its defenses are down, this is it. Not since Pearl Harbor has America been less prepared for existing threats.

The Russians and the Chinese are not stupid. They can clearly see that they may never have a better chance than they have right now to strike a decisive blow to the United States -- a knockout punch from which we may never recover.

Any such designs would almost certainly include an adventure into the Middle East so that the oil fields could be secured, thus effectively shoring up sagging industrial economies for the long term and depriving what remains of the West from any hope of recovery.

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1.7        Deaths in wars

1.7.1          Source: AP, The Independent, State Department, Center for Defense Information, CIA, World Almanac

The conflagration in former Yugoslavia and the tide of refugees it has created has become the focus of international media attention. But, away from the cameras, there are dozens of wars going on around the world today, and 30 million displaced people living on aid handouts as a result. Following is a list of death tolls or estimates in a sampling of conflicts fought in the 1990s:

Afghanistan: 2 million, 1979–1992. Soviet-backed coup put pro-Moscow regime in power, backed by more than 100,000 Soviet soldiers. Rebel groups drove the Soviets out and seized power, turning against each other. Civil war continues between Taliban militia and alliance of opposition forces.

Algeria: 75,000, 1992–98: An insurgency touched off when the army canceled elections the Islamic Salvation Front was poised to win. Algeria is getting its first civilian chief of state since 1965, but the election brought charges of fraud.

Argentina: 9,000–30,000, 1976–83: Death squads tortured and killed political opponents, many of whom disappeared, in the "dirty war" sparked by a military coup.

Bosnia: 250,000, 1991–95: Military conflict and civilian massacres following the breakup of Yugoslavia, settled with a U.S.-brokered peace deal.

Burundi: 150,000–250,000: 1993–99: Tutsis and Hutus have been fighting since the 1993 assassination by Tutsis of the first democratically elected president--a Hutu--and a coup in 1996 that brought a Tutsi government to power.

Chechnya: 18,000–100,000, 1994–96: Fighting between Russian soldiers and Chechen rebels, ending with Chechnya running its own affairs but no country recognizing its independence claim.

Colombia: 1,200 civilians, 1998: Thousands die yearly in violence perpetrated by drug traffickers, leftist rebels, right-wing paramilitary squads and wayward army soldiers in a decades-long struggle. The country's ombudsman says civilian massacres rose 16 percent last year, to 1,200, and more than 300,000 people were displaced by violence.

Ethiopia-Eritrea: Unknown, 1998–99: A continuing border war, one of Africa's worst conflicts, with each country claiming to have killed tens of thousands of soldiers on the other side, but no reliable estimates.

Guatemala: 200,000, 1960–96: Civil war ended with peace agreement between leftist rebels and the government.

Israel-Palestinians: 125,000, 1948–1997: The Center for Defense Information's count since the establishment of Israel as a modern state.

Kosovo: 2,000, 1998: A death toll that has risen this year to unknown heights since Serbs intensified their ethnic purge of Kosovars and NATO started bombing to stop the repression. Mass graves have been reported in Kosovo. NATO has acknowledged bombing a passenger train and possibly a refugee convoy; Serbs said about 75 died as a result.

Liberia: 150,000, 1989–97: Civil war sparked by rebellion to oust ethnic dictatorship. Democratic government installed, but sporadic armed clashes have followed.

Northern Ireland: 3,250, 1968–1998: Street clashes between Catholic protesters and Protestant police, leading in 1970 to the start of bombings and shootings by the IRA and then random killings by Protestant groups.

Persian Gulf War: 4,500–350,000, 1991: The estimated civilian death toll from allied bombing has been put as low as 2,500 by U.S. officials and as high as 250,000 by Iraq. Estimates of Iraqi military deaths also vary widely, starting at about 1,500 and going up to 100,000. U.S. officials say 147 Americans died in action during Desert Storm bombing and ground campaign; 289 more died in accidents before and during the war and related Gulf operations since.

Rwanda: 500,000–1,000,000, 1994: A 90-day slaughter of Tutsis or moderate Hutus by soldiers, militia and others under the influence of the Hutu government, finally put down by Tutsi-led rebels.

Sierra Leone: 14,000, 1992–99: Continuing war between the Revolutionary United Front and the government, with the rebels backed by an ousted military junta and the government by a Nigerian-led intervention force.

Spain: 800, 1961–99: Basque separatists declared a truce six months ago in their armed campaign for independence, although it has come under strain following a police crackdown.

Sri Lanka: 57,000, 1983–99: Tamil rebels have been fighting the government for an independent homeland in the small island nation.

Sudan: 1.5 million, 1983–99. Rebels from the Christian and animist south have been fighting for autonomy from the Arab and Muslim north in a conflict marked by famine.

Turkey: 37,000, 1984–99: Kurdish rebels have been fighting for autonomy in southeast Turkey, using guerrilla bases in northern Iraq.

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1.8        UK: Hackers seize military satellite

1.8.1          Source: Excite News

1.8.1.1         Date: Feb 28, 1999

Hackers have reportedly seized control of one of Britain's military communication satellites and issued blackmail threats, Reuters quoted The Sunday Business newspaper as reporting. The paper, quoting security sources, said the intruders altered the course of one of Britain's four satellites which are used by defense planners and military forces around the world.

"This is not just a case of computer nerds mucking about. This is very, very serious and the blackmail threat has made it even more serious," one security source said.

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1.9        Making the world safe for hypocrisy

1.9.1          Source: Molly Ivins, Fort Worth Star-Telegram

We urge Pakistan and India to follow the path of restraint... This may be as good a time as any for a tour d'horizon of American hypocrisy about weapons around the world. During the Cold War, we became accustomed to the fact that America got in bed with what seemed to be every fascist kleptocrat on Earth. We were perennially arming monstrous dictators and backing tyrants who abused and stole from their own people.

All this was justified in the name of the great Realpolitik of stopping communism. Those of us who objected to arming nun-rapers and bishop-killers were patted on the head and told, tut-tut, it was all being done in the name of democracy, and the only dictator we needed to be upset about was Fidel Castro.

The Cold War has been over for almost nine years now. Some of the old dictators have died of natural causes: Mobutu Sese Seko, one of the most remarkable thieves we ever helped keep in power, is gone at last after three decades of raping his country.

But here we are with our knickers in a twist because India and Pakistan have just "joined the nuclear club" (such a curious euphemism). And who do you think helped get them there? We did, with hundreds of millions of dollars worth of arms sales. And now we're all concerned that India and Pakistan will go to war.

Ditto Cyprus, where peace talks are unraveling and the United States scrambles to sell jet fighters, tanks and missiles to both Turkey and Greece. Africa, the Middle East, Southeast Asia, Latin America, Central Asia, you name it--if there's a trouble spot in the world, we're busily profiting by selling arms to all sides.

According to Luke Warren of the Council for a Livable World, since the Cold War, the United States has become the world's largest arms dealer, selling, on average, $16.6 billion per year since 1991. And mind you, this trade is supported by taxpayer subsidies; last year, U.S. taxpayers provided $7.8 billion in corporate welfare to arms manufacturers to sell overseas.

William Hartung, an authority on global arms sales with the World Policy Institute and author of "And Weapons for All," has documented the presence of U.S.-supplied weapons in 39 of the world's 42 ongoing ethnic and territorial conflicts.

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1.10    Weizman warns: Failed peace may result in war

1.10.1      Source: IsraelWire

1.10.1.1      Date: Dec 16, 1999

President Ezer Weizman stated that if the current initiative between Israel and Syrian fails, the area might become hostile, leading to war. The president indicated the issues at hand are a matter of “war and peace” and Israel must do its utmost to make it work. The president on Wednesday met with leader of the ultra-Orthodox Shas Party, Minister of Labor & Social Affairs, Eli Yishai, in an attempt to win over the party’s support for the current talks with Syria. Coalition members who oppose the talks are the National Religious Party and the Yisrael B’Aliyah Party, both having voted against the peace initiative in this week’s Knesset vote.

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1.11    China developing new air defense system

1.11.1      Source: Reuters

1.11.1.1      Date: Nov 28, 1999

China is close to fielding a revolutionary new antiaircraft early-warning defense system that worries U.S. intelligence analysts because it could defeat current Air Force tactics against enemy air defenses, Newsweek reported Sunday.The technology, which could detect U.S. stealth aircraft, including the F-117 bomber and perhaps even the futuristic F-22 fighter, has so alarmed the defense community that top military and industry experts have been called to a secret meeting in December to discuss the strategic implications.

"Everyone is wondering about the cost of defending Taiwan" if U.S. air power was suddenly vulnerable, Newsweek quoted an intelligence source as saying. Current antiaircraft defenses are cued by radars that detect and track incoming aircraft. But the radars are vulnerable because their signals can be jammed or missiles can be launched to ride back down the radar beams and destroy the transmitters.

Newsweek said China's new Passive Coherent Location (PCL) system tracked the signals of civilian radio and television broadcasts and picked up aircraft by analyzing the minute turbulence their flight caused in the commercial wavelengths. Because PCL does not transmit, its receivers cannot be detected and jammed or destroyed. The magazine said Lockheed Martin had developed a similar Silent Sentry system that it was trying to sell for low-cost air defense or air traffic control.

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1.12    Russia, China team up against U.S. with American technology

1.12.1      Source: By Charles Smith, WorldNetDaily.com

1.12.1.1      Date: November, 1999

Congressional officials are concerned that Russia and China are teaming up against the United States in a new arms race -- with missiles employing American technology and funding provided by the Clinton administration.

According to the China expert for Rep. Christopher Cox, R-Calif., Russia is selling the new Zvezda KH-31 missile to the Chinese military. Yet, against bi-partisan congressional opposition, the Clinton administration is financing the Russian military -- at the expense of American defense jobs -- by buying the same Russian missile to serve as a target drone for the U.S. Navy.

SCUD missile on mobile launcher erector. The SCUD threatened Israel and Saudi Arabia during the Persian Gulf war. The new Russian SS-27 mobile missile can hit America with H-bombs.

"The Russian KH-31 air-to-surface attack missile is being sold to China," said Richard Fisher, former member of the American Enterprise Institute, now working for Cox. "The Chinese appear to have backed down from a co-production deal on the KH-31," Fisher told WorldNetDaily. "They are making a flat-out buy (of missiles) from Zvezda."

"The KH-31P was designed by Russia to counter the radar of the Patriot surface-to-air missile, which Taiwan has already purchased, and the U.S. Aegis radar that Taipei would like to acquire," wrote Fisher in a recent defense report.

Fisher expressed his concern that the Russian Sukhoi SU-30 strike fighters newly acquired by the Chinese air force also will include weapons never before exported to Beijing. The new strike fighter is specifically designed to carry the KH-31 missile.

"The Sukhoi bureau hopes the SU-30 will become comparable to the U.S. Boeing F-15E Strike Eagle," wrote Fisher in the defense review. "It is likely that China will also buy from Russia a package of advanced laser and low-light targeting systems, plus a variety of bombs and missiles to equip its SU-30s. The KH-31P/KR-1 anti-radar missile will likely be a major weapon for the SU-30."

The Russian strike fighter sale to China also raised concerns of a new arms race in other defense analyst circles. Robert Karniol, Asia editor of Jane's Defense Weekly, said the Chinese SU-30 sale included spare parts, support and weapons systems. The deal will provide China "with a whole new range of air-launched missiles that the Russians previously refused to sell Beijing," Karniol said.

This month, the Russia Defense Ministry announced it will deploy 10 more mobile SS-27 TOPOL-M ballistic missiles, although it would not divulge where they would be deployed. The SS-27 will join the first batch of 10 TOPOL-M missiles that rolled into active service in 1998 for the Strategic Rocket Forces, replacing 10 older SS-19 missiles located at the Sarakov missile site 450 miles southeast of Moscow.

The SS-27 can carry up to 10 small nuclear warheads, or can be armed with a single massive H-bomb developed by the Russian Ministry of Atomics (MINATOM) Arzamas-16 site. According to Russian weapons engineers, the new Arzamas-designed warhead has an explosive force equal to over half a million tons of TNT.

In 1995 and 1996, Arzamas-16 illegally obtained U.S.-made IBM supercomputers exported with Clinton administration approval. The supercomputers were exported directly to the Russian weapons lab, using false commercial and non-military contracts. IBM pled guilty to the illegal export and paid a $8.5 million fine for their illegal sale.

SS-20 unique waffle fin system for mobile missiles. The Russian SS-27 is also equipped with similar fins for control during launch.

The SS-27 has a maximum range of 6,500 miles, is 74.5 feet in length, 6.06 feet in diameter and weighs in at just over 102,000 pounds. It is listed as a three-stage, solid propellant, "cold" gas-launched missile equipped with an Inertial/Stellar guidance system. The SS-27 is longer than the U.S.-built MX missile, but is one-half the weight. However, unlike the MX missile, the SS-27 is equipped with eight waffle-patterned folding fins for additional control during the first-stage firing.

Russian government officials recently threatened to deploy the SS-27 in larger numbers if the U.S. decides to field an anti-missile defense system to protect America. Russian State Duma Foreign Affairs Committee Chairman Vladimir Lukin told Moskovsky Komsomolets that Russia's security would not be weakened if the U.S. develops an anti-ballistic missile system.

In a speech this month carried by Radio Liberty, Lukin said, "Russia will be able to compete with U.S. space defense systems or will begin installing multiple warheads on the TOPOL (SS-27)." Lukin commented that the Russians would simply "churn" out more missiles. Lukin also stated that such a build-up would be "expensive, but not that expensive."

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1.13    Russia warned that it can overwhelm any anti-ballistic missile system

1.13.1      Source: Yahoo!

1.13.1.1      Date: Oct 26,1999

Moscow warned the United States Monday that it has enough weapons to overwhelm any anti-ballistic missile system, and threatened to deploy more atomic warheads if Washington builds a national missile defense system, Reuters quoted the Washington Post report. Nikolai Mikhailov, first deputy defense minister, told the Post the technology was available and would be used if ``the United States pushes us toward it.'' His comments followed last week's meeting between Russian and U.S. officials to discuss possible amendments to the 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty (ABM).

Russia's key method of trying to overcome any missile defenses would be to deploy more nuclear warheads atop its missiles, in the calculation that it could outnumber and penetrate any defensive shield, the Post said. Mikhailov gave few specifics, but said Russia could target any ABM facility with a nuclear warhead.

1.14    Russian Spy Network Exposed

1.14.1      Source: The London Telegraph

1.14.1.1      Date: October 31, 1999

Russian spies are rebuilding a vast espionage network in the Czech Republic at a time when the country is being integrated into Nato's command structure as one of its newest members. According to a confidential Czech government report, seen by The Telegraph, half of the 63 diplomats and 104 other staff at Russia's palatial Prague embassy are spies protected by diplomatic immunity - giving them a safe window on the West.

There are significantly more Russian diplomats in Prague than in the other Nato newcomers Poland and Hungary. In Britain, which has a population six times that of the Czech Republic, Moscow has only 47 diplomats at its London embassy. Prague's Social Democratic government, eager to foster warm relations with Moscow, has shown little apparent concern. Ministers also appear somewhat ambivalent towards Nato. When the Kosovo conflict erupted a month after the Czechs joined the Western military alliance, Prague worked with the Greeks to construct a peace deal acceptable to President Slobodan Milosevic of Yugoslavia. Prague has now become the regional centre of operations for Russia's military intelligence agency, the GRU.

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1.15    Space Warfare Inevitable, Says Pentagon Director

1.15.1      Source: Drudge Report

1.15.1.1      Date: October 1999

The Pentagon's long-range thinker, Andrew Marshall, made a rare public appearance Thursday to discuss the future of warfare. Mr. Marshall, director of the nondescript but powerful Office of Net Assessment, said the nation's ability to project power over long distances will remain "the fundamental task." The drawback of America's long military reach is that it is driving more nations to seek nuclear weapons and long-range missiles capable of reaching U.S. soil. And Mr. Marshall believes they will succeed.

"The long-term trend is that nations are seeking new forms of strategic attack," Mr. Marshall told a small group of defense experts at the Brookings Institution. "More and more countries will have longer-range missiles that they can use to attack a capital or a society. We are going to live in a world where many more countries have the ability to attack from a distance." Information warfare - the capability of attacking computer networks from afar - will be part of it, he said. So will space warfare. Attacks against communications satellites and other space assets are "inevitable," Mr. Marshall said. 

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1.16    Is Russia planning Mideast attack?

1.16.1      Source: Joseph Farah, WorldNetDaily.com

1.16.1.1      Date: September 1, 1999

Joseph de Courcy, editor of the well-respected journal Intelligence Digest reports this week: "While NATO congratulates itself on bombing the Serbs into submission, Israel's Mossad and other Middle Eastern intelligence sources have discovered that Kosovo was one humiliation too many for Russia. Now Moscow has agreed to back Saddam's secret plan of revenge. With this all-important Russian backing, Saddam is joining with hated Iran and Syria to launch one final war against Israel. Amazingly, Saddam will allow Iranian troops to cross Iraqi territory to join the attack on Israel. And to keep America from interfering, Moscow has given Osama bin Laden and other terrorists the means to attack American population centers with weapons of mass destruction. The threat is real ... and the implications terrifying. ..."

These are not the rantings of some self-proclaimed geo-strategic analyst. Joseph de Courcy is one of the most well-respected intelligence journalists in the world.

His report is nothing short of shocking. Yet it confirms and supports the research being done by WorldNetDaily's J.R. Nyquist, author of "Origins of the Fourth World War." I believe, based on trends obvious to anyone capable of picking up a daily newspaper today (online or off) that there is an excellent chance Russia and/or China may embark on a major military adventure before 2001.

Why? There is almost no chance America will be weaker militarily than it is right now during the remainder of the Clinton administration. We've hit rock bottom -- deliberately, because of the conscious policies of a president who is un-American to the core and who would sell out the memory of his own dead mother if he thought there were an opportunity for even momentary political gain.

Unless some equally unpatriotic, characterless leader hell-bent on national suicide is selected to be commander in chief, the military is bound to at least recover some ground lost during the last seven years.

Yeah, if there were ever an opportunity to surprise the U.S. when its defenses are down, this is it. Not since Pearl Harbor has America been less prepared for existing threats.

The Russians and the Chinese are not stupid. They can clearly see that they may never have a better chance than they have right now to strike a decisive blow to the United States -- a knockout punch from which we may never recover.

Any such designs would almost certainly include an adventure into the Middle East so that the oil fields could be secured, thus effectively shoring up sagging industrial economies for the long term and depriving what remains of the West from any hope of recovery.

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1.17    China Tests Ground-To-Air Missiles On Plateau

1.17.1      Source: Reuters

1.17.1.1      Date: August 31, 1999

Parade in ChinaBEIJING - China has successfully test-fired a ground-to-air anti-aircraft missile on a high plateau, the Liberation Army Daily reported Tuesday. It was the first time China had tested the mid-range missile on a plateau, the People's Liberation Army newspaper said without specifying where the test was conducted or identifying the missile.

The test was in line with the policy of the air force's Communist Party cell to "solidify combat readiness," the newspaper said in apparent reference to Taiwan. Beijing and Taipei have been locked in a war of words and military posturing following Taiwan President Lee Teng-hui's declaration last month that ties should be on a "special state-to-state" basis.

China, which has threatened to invade if Taiwan declares independence, saw Lee's move as a lurch toward statehood. Beijing regards Taiwan as a renegade province that must be reunified with the motherland. The newspaper said missiles downed several drone "enemy aircraft" from different angles and heights.

The anti-aircraft unit overcame transportation difficulties, bad weather and lack of oxygen, the newspaper said.

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1.18    The revolution in Colombia

1.18.1      Source: J.R. Nyquist, WorldNetDaily

1.18.1.1      Date: August 1999

Columbian RebelsNot long ago the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia, a Marxist insurgency, launched a major offensive. They attacked 26 rural towns and attempted to stage a major assault on Bogota. But according to General Charles Wilhelm, commander in chief of the U.S. Southern Command, the Colombian government smashed the Communist offensive, inflicting "triple digit" losses.

A few days after the fighting died down the Colombian government said it desperately needed half a billion dollars in order to modernize its military. Colombia is the third largest recipient of U.S. foreign aid after Israel and Egypt. But it's not enough. Given the difficulties of fighting a guerrilla war in a country of mountains and forests, and the fact that the guerrillas control nearly half the country, the situation is definitely not coming up roses.

The Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia are estimated to have 17,000 troops. And these are not the only Communist guerrillas in the country. There is another Communist insurgency as well, smaller in size--the ELN. These forces also have government troops pinned down across a wide area. The main problem for the government is how to protect the small towns and villages. The other problem is how to cut off the guerrillas' main sources of supply.

And what is that source of supply? Money from good old American drug users.

The two Communist guerrilla armies in Colombia--the FARC and ELN--control most of the coca growing areas in the country, and nearly all the new growth in coca cultivation. In fact, Colombia is the largest cocaine producer on planet earth, and half of the heroin picked up on U.S. streets is said to originate in Colombia.

I recently interviewed Prof. Joseph D. Douglass Jr., a defense researcher and author of Red Cocaine: The Drugging of America. He gave me an interesting statistic. He said that Russia and the nations of the former Communist bloc, including Red China, now control 80 percent of the international drug trade.

If true, that is a staggering revelation. Douglass further revealed that Communist bloc control of international narcotics trafficking is not something haphazard or accidental, but has been part of a long-term plan to penetrate and employ the world's organized crime networks for political subversion. In this matter the Russians (who Douglass says control about half the world's narcotics trafficking) and the Chinese (who control about one third), are not merely taking hold of a momentary opportunity to make money. This was a well thought out strategic decision made in the 1950s. In other words, it was a move in the Cold War chess game. And it appears from Douglass' comments that the Communists may have won a stunning victory against us through strategic dominance of the global underworld.

As Douglass points out in his book, the Soviets realized in the 1950s that dominance of organized crime would give them access to blackmail information on Western politicians and government officials. This would allow them to penetrate key institutions using organized crime syndicates as fronts.

From all appearances, said Douglass, Moscow and Beijing have succeeded in conquering the lion's share of the global underworld, and through this process it is possible that they enjoy a degree of penetration--even control--of American institutions that call into question the very integrity of the United States government.

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1.19    Selling War

1.19.1      Source: Jerome Zeifman, WorldNetDaily

1.19.1.1      Date: August 1999

On June 23, 1999, Oscar Arias, the former President of Costa Rica (who won the 1987 Nobel Peace Prize) published an article in the New York Times titled, "Stopping America's Most Lethal Export," stating,

"Americans have shown great concern about the reported loss of classified nuclear secrets to the Chinese. But they should be just as outraged that their country gives away many other military secrets voluntarily, in the form of high-tech arms exports. By selling advanced weaponry throughout the world, wealthy military contractors not only weaken national security and squeeze taxpayers at home but also strengthen dictators and worsen human misery abroad.

"After the cold war, arms manufacturers realized that their business would be threatened by falling demand. To protect their profits, they have lobbied to maintain high levels of spending in the United States while also promoting unprecedented levels of military exports.

"This two-pronged approach serves the manufacturers well: by shipping top-of-the-line arms overseas, they create greater dangers to surmount. They can then argue that continued American supremacy requires the development of even more sophisticated weapons systems--weapons that translate into lucrative defense contracts….

"While the arms industry profits, people throughout the world suffer. Overseas, American-made arms are often turned against civilians or used to strengthen dictators."

(Jerome Zeifman formerly served as chief counsel to the House Judiciary Committee.)

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1.20    War's Litter: Cluster Bombs

1.20.1      Source: Virgil Wiebe and Titus Peachey, The Christian Science Monitor

1.20.1.1      Date: August 1999

Cluster BombOn April 24, five Kosovar brothers and two cousins ranging in age from 3 to 14 were playing in a field outside Doganovic, Kosovo. They found a small yellow canister the size of a soda can. As two of the cousins went to tell adults, one of the brothers began to pry open the canister.

The explosion killed all the brothers and severely injured their two cousins. That canister was a cluster bomb dropped by NATO forces. Much like land mines, unexploded cluster bombs pose enduring threats to innocent people.

The international treaty to ban the manufacture and use of land mines, signed by 135 countries and ratified by 81 of the signatories, became law March 1. The United States has refused to sign. Some people in the U.S. military oppose signing because the treaty's definition of land mines is broad enough to cover cluster bombs.

Cluster munitions are containers that break open in midair, scattering smaller bombs the size of soda cans or lawn darts. They may be dropped from aircraft or shot from rocket launchers and artillery projectiles. These systems often carry hundreds of the cluster munitions, saturating an area with flying shards of steel.

Cluster BombThe smaller bombs are designed to explode near the time of impact. But not all of them do. Instead, unexploded bombs litter the target area, silent and nondescript, until picked up by a child or kicked by a passerby.

Cluster munitions may also hide themselves if they land in weeds, soft soil, sand, or water. Alternatively, those on top of the ground may become buried by vegetation or soil erosion. In this way they become hidden killers, blending into their surroundings like land mines.

In use for decades, cluster munitions are among the most indiscriminate weapons in military arsenals. These munitions not only cause physical suffering and loss, but also hinder agricultural and economic development of the land years into the future. Villagers understandably are reluctant to work land they know to be littered with unexploded bombs.

A senior NATO commander recognized in April that at least 5 percent (ranging up to 30 percent) of NATO's cluster bombs fail to explode upon impact. Commenting on Yugoslavia, he noted that "the place is littered with thousands of these things."

Bomb disposal experts in Laos, where millions of these munitions still lie unexploded from the Vietnam War, have said repeatedly that cluster munitions become less stable and therefore more dangerous with each passing year. Use of cluster bombs, then, is tantamount to the creation of uncharted mine fields.

Tragically, we can be almost certain that a deadly "toy" deposited by Serb or NATO forces today in Kosovo will lie in wait to kill the grandchildren of returned refugees many tomorrows into the future.

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1.21    Kashmir gets scarier

1.21.1      Source: New York Times News Service

1.21.1.1      Date: July 1999

Indian troops in Kashmir High in the forbidding Himalayan foothills, the half-century-old struggle for control of Kashmir is entering a new and unpredictable phase. Islamic fighters have crossed the line that divides the state between zones of Indian and Pakistani control, and the Indian army is waging a bloody campaign to drive them back.

It is the latest battle in a conflict that has taken tens of thousands of lives over the last decade, and the fact that both contending nations are armed with nuclear weapons lends it an apocalyptic urgency.

"We're facing a small war, but it can escalate," one of Kashmir's wise men, Sufi Ghulan Mohammed, editor of the Urdu-language Srinagar Times, said. "Escalation means devastation. It does not have to be planned. Anything can happen at any time."

The Kashmir conflict is perhaps even more complex than those that have shaken the Balkans. Kashmir is about 75 percent Muslim, but when India and Pakistan were created in 1947, the maharajah, a Hindu, chose to lead it into Hindu-dominated India rather than Islamic Pakistan.

Pakistan has never accepted Kashmir's accession to India, and has waged two wars to seize it. The last one, in 1971, ended with a cease-fire that left two-thirds of the state in India and the rest in Pakistan.

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1.22    When disaster struck

1.22.1      Source: David Rieff, Los Angeles Times Service/ IHT

1.22.1.1      Date: July 1999

When the disaster struck, its effects were devastating. In a very short time thousands were killed and many more maimed, tortured or raped. Hundreds of thousands were forced to flee their homes.

Humanitarian agencies estimated that, all told, the conflict had produced from 700,000 to a million refugees, whose presence was deeply destabilizing to neighboring countries, and almost 500,000 internally displaced people, whose condition was, if anything, far worse.

Is that a description of Kosovo? It could be, but it is not. Those horrors come from another brutal internal war, the one going on in Sierra Leone.

The disasters now taking place in Sierra Leone, Angola, Burundi, Liberia and Afghanistan never get the kind of attention that the Kosovo crisis has received. The point is not that what happened in Kosovo is less awful than what is going on in Africa. But the Kosovars can count on the world's attention, whereas in sub-Saharan Africa it is almost a foregone conclusion that only a minimal effort will be made.

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1.23    Peacekeepers have no peace

1.23.1      Source: Associated Press

1.23.1.1      Date: July, 1999

QANA, Lebanon -- Morning mist was still rising from the silvery leaves of a hillside olive grove when nine Shiite Muslim guerrillas set about their task: positioning a 106 mm recoilless cannon and preparing to fire a few quick rounds at an Israeli army outpost just across the ridge.

So the passing group of UN peacekeepers patrolling the rugged valleys of southern Lebanon did the only thing they could: They approached the guerrillas--bearded, edgy, brandishing AK-47 rifles--and very, very politely asked them to go away.

"I shook hands with each of them, and talked quietly and reasonably," recounted Maj. Jerry Tuikoro, gesturing toward the grove where he and his small contingent of peacekeepers from faraway Fiji had come across the guerrillas from the Iranian-backed Hezbollah a few days earlier. The UN troopers, who are allowed to use their weapons only in self-defense, must rely under such circumstances on persuasiveness. This time, it worked.

Since its creation in 1978, the nine-nation UN force has had the same mission: to verify an Israeli troop withdrawal, help the Lebanese government reassert sovereignty, and establish a secure area. The peacekeepers are the first to admit none of the goals has been achieved.

"We've been fighting for our own survival, sandwiched between the warring parties," said Timur Goksel, a senior UN adviser. "Peacekeeping? You have to have peace to keep it."

In the 390-square-mile UN-patrolled zone, Israeli troops and their allied Lebanese militia do daily battle with the guerrillas of Hezbollah, along with fighters from other Islamic groups. Over the years, 222 peacekeepers have died in the crossfire.

But the UN troops, who provide services to villagers ranging from medical care to generator power, are reaping a goodwill dividend after long years of service.

Strong bonds were forged during the Qana shellings, when blue-helmeted Fijian soldiers wept in the ruins as they tended the wounded. In the town's streets, the "tawareh"--the word for peacekeepers in the local Arabic dialect--are often trailed by a crowd of children.

"The ones who are fighters now knew other Fijians back when they were kids," said peacekeeper Semisi Kama. "So we can talk to them, try to cool them down."

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1.24    Wherever that town is, someone will die for it

1.24.1      Source: New York Times News Service

1.24.1.1      Date: July, 1999

ADDIS ABABA, Ethiopia--It would seem like the simplest of questions, one that could be settled with a few good maps and maybe a cheap global positioning device: Where on Earth, quite literally, is the town of Badme?

Badme is a place of no particular consequence in the highlands between Ethiopia and its much smaller kin, Eritrea, two A deserted battle fieldnations of great promise on the Horn of Africa. But lying on the battlefields near this town are the corpses of perhaps 10,000 soldiers--maybe less, maybe more--who died over the last month because each nation claims Badme and the surrounding area as its own. (For comparison's sake, 3,200 people have died in Northern Ireland's sectarian conflict in the last 30 years, according to the U.S. State Department).

None of the Badme region has much value or historical or emotional resonance. It is merely undefined. And that tells the story of many conflicts in modern-day Africa: The colonists of a century ago, in this case Italy and Britain, buried a time bomb in the treaties that marked off their ambitions. The treaties are wildly complicated and laughably imprecise, using tribes and river junctions and obscure mountains as reference points.

"They did not think of the borders," said Professor Mesfin Wolde-Mariam, a retired geographer, of those who planned Eritrea's independence in 1993. "So, hurriedly, they were independent. Now we have no idea what on earth is happening. And mind you, these are the same people on both sides. They speak the same language, have the same culture. It's very depressing."

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1.25    Why they say "nyet"

1.25.1      Source: Roy A. Medvedev: The Washington Post

1.25.1.1      Date: June, 1999

MOSCOW--No single event in the past 50 years has provoked such fierce emotions in Russia as NATO's bombing of Serbia. Polls here show that 95 percent of Russian citizens condemn the Western alliance's actions in the Balkans.

Hundreds of Russian volunteers are already in Serbia; thousands are en route; and several thousand more are prepared to follow them. Not only former paratroopers and officers, but also generals and commanders of military districts say they are prepared to defend Serbia. Col. Gen. Viktor Chechevatov, commander of Russia's largest military district, recently announced that he is ready to lead the expeditionary corps to Serbia if necessary. What has produced this howl of rage, supported both by opposition and pro-Western politicians?

Nobody here believes talk about the determination to prevent a "humanitarian catastrophe." The bombs and missiles have simply hastened and deepened the humanitarian tragedy and strengthened doubts about the advantages of Western civilization. If Western civilization proves itself by such methods, what can the Arab world, Africa, China or India think of it?

Some analysts here have tried to explain the conflict by arguing that the United States and NATO want to try out their new, precise weaponry under military conditions. Other more serious theories assert that NATO, having lost its purpose after the Warsaw Pact and the Soviet Union disintegrated, is simply looking for new ways to justify its existence. Geopoliticians argue that the war in the Balkans is intended to show the world that only one military superpower--the United States--remains.

The reasons for indignation on the part of ordinary Russians are various:

* The strong strike the weak. Nineteen powerful countries are striking targets in Serbia and even in Montenegro, which is not in conflict with anyone. This spectacle is unacceptable to the Russian understanding of justice.

* The armed strike the unarmed. The Serbs are practically defenseless against NATO's missiles and bombs. There are hundreds of dead and wounded on the Serbian side; Serbia's industry is destroyed. But there is not a single dead or wounded NATO soldier. From the point of view of Russian people, this unequal conflict isn't even a war, it's a massacre.

* A Slav, Orthodox country is being destroyed. It was Russia that helped Serbia attain its independence from the Ottoman Empire in the 19th century. In all the European wars of the past 300 years, Serbia has been Russia's ally. It was because of Serbia that Russia went to war against Austria-Hungary in 1914.

* Serbia is being beaten to humiliate and teach Russia a lesson. There is a strong conviction among Russians that the senseless destruction of Dresden by the Western allies in 1945 and the use of atomic bombs against Japan later that year were demonstrations of strength to Moscow above all. The campaign against Serbia is often seen from the same point of view. Many Russians believe that the destruction of Serbia was conceived as a demonstration of the West's strength and invincibility.

* The West deceived and robbed Russia. Our people were told over and over again about the benefits of democracy and the market economy that the rich Western countries would help Russia construct. That illusion has long since disappeared. In the minds of the impoverished, there is a conviction that the West not only deceived us, but that it robbed Russia. New wealthy Russians, stock market gamblers and financial speculators carried billions of dollars away to the West. Life in Russia became worse, and the country's debts to the West grew several times over.

Russian citizens are not impressed by NATO talk about the despotism of Yugoslav President Slobodan Milosevic. Compared with our dictators, Milosevic seems a pragmatist. He was elected by the Serbian people.

No one in Russia defends ethnic cleansing, but it is obvious to all here that external aggression can only make the situation worse. In Russia itself, there are about 3 million refugees who have fled from the ethnic conflicts in Central Asia, Moldova, the Caucasus and Abkhazia. There are 1 million displaced people in Azerbaijan, 500,000 in Armenia, 300,000 in Georgia. But no one thinks that bombs are the best means of returning lost land to these people.

Although Russia is weakened, it is still strong both as a nation and as a state. Its army may not have enough food to feed its soldiers, but it is armed with modern weapons. If NATO ground forces and Serbia's neighboring countries are drawn into the war, Russia will certainly break the UN embargo against supplying arms to the Balkans.

Roy Medvedev, a Russian historian living in Moscow, is the author of "Let History Judge" (Columbia University Press) and "Khrushchev: The Years in Power" (Norton).

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1.26    Bombing of Yugoslavia ignites anti-U.S. feeling around the world

1.26.1      Source: Washington Post Foreign Service

1.26.1.1      Date: June, 1999

BUENOS AIRES--It's thousands of miles from Belgrade, an We appolgize--but accidents do happen... d there's not a Serb in sight. But Gonzalo Etcheberry is passing a wall on a busy street here spray-painted with the words, "Yankee, out of the Balkans." He didn't write the slogan, but he couldn't agree more. "Your bombs in Yugoslavia are from the side of America that I can't stand," said Etcheberry, a 21-year-old medical student wearing a black Pearl Jam T-shirt. "I hate it when the U.S. plays judge and God."

Such feelings are common in Argentina--and in many other parts of the world far from the conflict over Kosovo. As the air war against Yugoslavia concludes its eighth week, and blunders like the bombing that reportedly killed nearly 90 ethnic Albanians at Korisa and the strike on the Chinese Embassy in Belgrade grab headlines worldwide, NATO's warplanes are inflicting collateral damage of another kind--on the alliance's international reputation. And Uncle Sam, NATO's dominant power, is bearing the brunt of people's anger.

Here in Argentina, one of Washington's closest Latin American allies, a poll last week showed that 64 percent of the public opposed the NATO air campaign against Yugoslavia. More respondents had a negative opinion of NATO than of Yugoslav President Slobodan Milosevic.

In Latin America, Asia, Africa, the Middle East and other regions with little direct interest in the conflict, opposition is surfacing in statements by elected officials, newspaper editorials, opinion polls, public protests, Internet banter and street graffiti.

"NATO is blindly bombing Yugoslavia," Indian Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee said in a fiery political speech in India. "There is a dance of destruction going on there. Thousands of people rendered homeless. And the United Nations is a mute witness to all this. Is NATO's work to prevent war or to fuel one?"

Protesters shout anti NATO slogans in TaipeiWhile the plight of the Kosovo refugees has evoked widespread sympathy, with many countries offering financial and logistical support to the relief effort, there is also growing criticism that the allies were too quick to abandon diplomacy for war. The mistaken bombings of civilians and of the Chinese Embassy have intensified those feelings.

Taro Kono, a Japanese member of parliament, has said, "The United States and NATO have unilaterally decided that the Serbs are the bad guys. I'm not sure it's so easy to tell who's right and who's wrong."

For many Arabs, the NATO bombings have evoked disturbing parallels with the continuing U.S.-led air campaign against Iraq, whose sanctions-bound population is the object of widespread sympathy in the Arab world. Jordan Times columnist Rami Khouri wrote that the United States and Britain have now made the "perpetual bombing of a weak and defenseless target" something routine.

In Africa, "most ordinary people are too busy with the struggle of day-to-day life" to focus closely on Kosovo, "and there has been a feeling that it's white folks' business," said Babacar Toure, publisher of the Sud daily newspaper in Dakar, Senegal. But the regular accounts of errant bombs and dead civilians have raised debate, he said, notably on the way NATO has sidelined the United Nations.

In the Philippines, one of Washington's closest allies in Asia, protesters angered by the war have been marching daily against a plan for military exercises with the United States. Large anti-American protests denouncing the war are also being staged in Pakistan and India. Vietnam has condemned the NATO attacks, calling for the issue to be resolved peacefully.

The war is striking a particularly bitter note in Latin America, where Washington's support of repressive governments in decades past has left a legacy of suspicion about its motives. "I don't think Milosevic is a saint, but the United States is on an ego trip," said Etcheberry, the Argentine medical student.

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1.27    If ethnic cleansing is wrong in the Balkans, it's wrong in the Mideast

1.27.1      Source: Charley Reese, The Orlando Sentinel

1.27.1.1      Date: June, 1999

Well, good news for Palestinians. President Clinton and other NATO heads of state have said repeatedly and explicitly that "ethnic cleansing shall not stand" and that refugees have a right to return to their homes.

Well, bless my pita bread, there's no group of people in the world who are more clearly victims of ethnic cleansing than the Palestinian refugees who have been rotting in refugee camps for 50 years. Palestinians were ethnically cleansed in 1948 and again in 1967. They were forced out and have been forbidden to return specifically because they are Palestinians.

Because we are all sure that Clinton and the other heads of state who lead the North Atlantic Treaty Organization are men of honor and wouldn't think of lying, we can be sure then that as soon as this Balkan business is completed that Israel will be presented with an ultimatum just like the one presented to Slobodan Milosevic.

Israel will be told to withdraw its forces from the West Bank, Gaza and East Jerusalem, to consent to occupation of those areas by an international military force, and shall allow all Palestinian refugees to return to their homes and to live there safely. Or else the bombs will fall on Tel Aviv.

I know that some of you are cynical. Some of you think that the Israeli lobby protects Israel not only from the United States but from enforcement of the more than 60 UN resolutions directed against Israeli abuses of Palestinians and neighboring countries.

Some of you probably think that Clinton and company are lying about ethnic cleansing just because they've done nothing about Tibet's occupation and 1 million killed; or the 2 million dead in the Sudanese civil war; or the 1 million dead in the Angola civil war; or the 65,000 dead in the Algerian civil conflict; or the 40,000 dead in the Nagorno-Karabakh civil conflict; or the 750,000 killed in Rwanda, and so on and so on. Shame on you for being a cynic.

It has been said that NATO is really in search of a mission (before Milosevic it was an army with neither enemy nor mission). Well, if the new mission is to stamp out ethnic cleansing and undo it, it will have enough wars to keep the arms manufacturers in billion-dollar clover for the next century. There are about 15 million ethnically cleansed refugees in the world.

If ethnic cleansing is wrong in the Balkans, it's wrong in the Middle East, and it's high time the U.S. Congress and the executive branch apply the same concern for ethnically cleansed Palestinians as they profess to have for the Albanians.

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1.28    Deaths in wars

1.28.1      Source: AP, The Independent, State Department, Center for Defense Information, CIA, World Almanac

The conflagration in former Yugoslavia and the tide of refugees it has created has become the focus of international media attention. But, away from the cameras, there are dozens of wars going on around the world today, and 30 million displaced people living on aid handouts as a result. Following is a list of death tolls or estimates in a sampling of conflicts fought in the 1990s:

Afghanistan: 2 million, 1979–1992. Soviet-backed coup put pro-Moscow regime in power, backed by more than 100,000 Soviet soldiers. Rebel groups drove the Soviets out and seized power, turning against each other. Civil war continues between Taliban militia and alliance of opposition forces.

Algeria: 75,000, 1992–98: An insurgency touched off when the army canceled elections the Islamic Salvation Front was poised to win. Algeria is getting its first civilian chief of state since 1965, but the election brought charges of fraud.

Argentina: 9,000–30,000, 1976–83: Death squads tortured and killed political opponents, many of whom disappeared, in the "dirty war" sparked by a military coup.

Bosnia: 250,000, 1991–95: Military conflict and civilian massacres following the breakup of Yugoslavia, settled with a U.S.-brokered peace deal.

Burundi: 150,000–250,000: 1993–99: Tutsis and Hutus have been fighting since the 1993 assassination by Tutsis of the first democratically elected president--a Hutu--and a coup in 1996 that brought a Tutsi government to power.

Chechnya: 18,000–100,000, 1994–96: Fighting between Russian soldiers and Chechen rebels, ending with Chechnya running its own affairs but no country recognizing its independence claim.

Colombia: 1,200 civilians, 1998: Thousands die yearly in violence perpetrated by drug traffickers, leftist rebels, right-wing paramilitary squads and wayward army soldiers in a decades-long struggle. The country's ombudsman says civilian massacres rose 16 percent last year, to 1,200, and more than 300,000 people were displaced by violence.

Ethiopia-Eritrea: Unknown, 1998–99: A continuing border war, one of Africa's worst conflicts, with each country claiming to have killed tens of thousands of soldiers on the other side, but no reliable estimates.

Guatemala: 200,000, 1960–96: Civil war ended with peace agreement between leftist rebels and the government.

Israel-Palestinians: 125,000, 1948–1997: The Center for Defense Information's count since the establishment of Israel as a modern state.

Kosovo: 2,000, 1998: A death toll that has risen this year to unknown heights since Serbs intensified their ethnic purge of Kosovars and NATO started bombing to stop the repression. Mass graves have been reported in Kosovo. NATO has acknowledged bombing a passenger train and possibly a refugee convoy; Serbs said about 75 died as a result.

Liberia: 150,000, 1989–97: Civil war sparked by rebellion to oust ethnic dictatorship. Democratic government installed, but sporadic armed clashes have followed.

Northern Ireland: 3,250, 1968–1998: Street clashes between Catholic protesters and Protestant police, leading in 1970 to the start of bombings and shootings by the IRA and then random killings by Protestant groups.

Persian Gulf War: 4,500–350,000, 1991: The estimated civilian death toll from allied bombing has been put as low as 2,500 by U.S. officials and as high as 250,000 by Iraq. Estimates of Iraqi military deaths also vary widely, starting at about 1,500 and going up to 100,000. U.S. officials say 147 Americans died in action during Desert Storm bombing and ground campaign; 289 more died in accidents before and during the war and related Gulf operations since.

Rwanda: 500,000–1,000,000, 1994: A 90-day slaughter of Tutsis or moderate Hutus by soldiers, militia and others under the influence of the Hutu government, finally put down by Tutsi-led rebels.

Sierra Leone: 14,000, 1992–99: Continuing war between the Revolutionary United Front and the government, with the rebels backed by an ousted military junta and the government by a Nigerian-led intervention force.

Spain: 800, 1961–99: Basque separatists declared a truce six months ago in their armed campaign for independence, although it has come under strain following a police crackdown.

Sri Lanka: 57,000, 1983–99: Tamil rebels have been fighting the government for an independent homeland in the small island nation.

Sudan: 1.5 million, 1983–99. Rebels from the Christian and animist south have been fighting for autonomy from the Arab and Muslim north in a conflict marked by famine.

Turkey: 37,000, 1984–99: Kurdish rebels have been fighting for autonomy in southeast Turkey, using guerrilla bases in northern Iraq.

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1.29    Kosovo and the New World Order

1.29.1      Source: By Samuel L. Blumenfeld, WorldNetDaily

NATO was supposedly created to defend its members against attacks from unfriendly nations. Now NATO has initiated a war against a sovereign power trying to prevent an insurgency from depriving it of one of its provinces, a province of great historical significance to the Serbs.

No one denies that the suppression of the Kosovo independence movement by the Serbs has been brutal. President Lincoln launched a war that destroyed the South in order to maintain U.S. sovereignty over the states that had seceded from the Union. A half million lives were lost during that conflict. Had an outside power taken sides with the confederacy and sent troops and armaments to fight against the United States, that would have been considered a blatant act of war.

But we are living in a different world, in which the idea of a world government imposing its will on recalcitrant states is becoming more and more acceptable by a general public. NATO has suddenly transformed itself from a defensive alliance into a new international police force that will impose its will on other nations engaged in activities it disapproves of. A world government cannot be meek. It must exercise brute force.

What we are witnessing in Kosovo is the New World Order raising its benign humanist head and making its existence manifest. It will impose peace in Yugoslavia even if it has to bomb the Serbs into submission.

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1.30    Picking enemies

1.30.1      Source: AP

This decade--never mind this century--has been awash in blood, but the world's great power has been selective in using force to stanch the flow.

Multiply the loss of life in Kosovo by a magnitude of 100, and still it does not equal the toll in 90 days of Rwandan slaughter. Mass starvation in North Korea brings food shipments but no force from the U.S. to break a repressive regime's relief bottleneck. Sudan's civil war has left almost 2 million dead, and counting.

How the U.S. picks its enemies can bear little relation to the scale of suffering it wishes to ease, even when intervention is conducted on largely humanitarian grounds.

"Any justification you can use for getting involved in Kosovo applies even more so to other conflicts," says Gideon Rose, a national security official in the first Clinton administration. Foreign policy analysts are hard-pressed to see a logical pattern that would explain why Somalia, but not Rwanda; why Bosnia, but not Sierra Leone; why Kosovo, but not so many other places where tyrants crush their people or their neighbors.

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1.31    A new collision of West and East

1.31.1      Source: By Serge Schemann, New York Times News Service

For Americans who never gave much if any thought to Kosovo until the terrible stories and images began to emerge of Albanians in flight from an evil man called Slobodan Milosevic, it might have come as something of a rude shock that other countries, like Russia or Greece, seemed to actually see the U.S. and NATO as the bad guys for bombing Yugoslavia.

The reactions raise the question of whether there is an Orthodox world in the East that differs fundamentally from the West in its values and principles, that perceives the NATO attacks not as a morally justified crusade against a clear and present evil, but as a hypocritical Western assault against an Eastern Orthodox nation.

In a poignant statement that circulated by e-mail among Orthodox churches in America, Father Sava of the Serbian Orthodox Church--a church whose patriarch and bishops have consistently and courageously opposed Milosevic--bitterly derided the Western logic for the bombing: "The ironic statements that the goal of this operation is to prevent suffering of civilians are absolutely hypocritical and tragic," the message said. "President Clinton speaks sweet words to the Serbian people while the bombers mercilessly destroy schools, kindergartens and fill the hearts of children with hatred against the peoples which they believed were their friends and supporters of true peace and democracy."

Such protests seem to support the thesis made popular by Samuel P. Huntington of Harvard in his book The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order (Simon & Schuster, 1996) that the world is not moving inevitably toward Western values, as the West's victory in the Cold War seemed to promise, but, on the contrary, that it is moving toward a clash of cultures in which the Western model is confronted by increasingly assertive civilizations of the East--Islamic, Chinese, Indian, Japanese and Orthodox Christian.

According to Rev. Leonid Kishkovsky, ecumenical officer of the Orthodox Church in America, even among the most pro-Western Russians and Serbs there is a growing resentment over Washington's approach. "It worries me that this could be the beginning of a process that will lead to a new polarization," he said. "Once again, between East and West."

1.32    Waking up the bear

1.32.1      Source: Joseph Farah, WorldNetDaily

Until the NATO attacks on Serbia, Russia was a nation severely divided over politics. There were We have our first direct hitno "common enemies" among the disparate factions of Communists, fascists, nationalists and democrats. The once-fearful Russian bear was asleep. Bill Clinton fixed that. Today, there is virtual unanimity among Russians that the U.S. and its NATO allies represent an aggressive, imperialist threat.

As a result, Russians are demonstrating in the streets, volunteering for military service on behalf of Belgrade and mobilizing their military in a way not witnessed since the height of the Cold War. Is all this just an unfortunate side-effect of the Balkans action? Or does it potentially represent the unmistakable stage-setting for World War III?

According to Turkish intelligence sources, Russia is sending another nine-vessel naval battle group to the Mediterranean. Moscow is beginning to draft young men into military service with a preliminary target of 169,000 recruits.

The Western media pretend Russia's grumblings are meaningless. They are scarcely mentioned in the daily news coverage of the establishment press. It's as if the Russian army is perceived to be some kind of irrelevant "paper tiger." It is not.

Even in its fallen state, Moscow boasts military forces at least triple the size of Washington's. The new recruits will make it four times larger than the U.S. military. It's worth pointing out that Russia's nuclear arsenal is still potent enough to destroy the U.S.--to reduce it to cinders--several times over.

On virtually a daily basis, the most bellicose, warlike and threatening statements are being issued from Moscow and Beijing. The leaders of Russia and China are angry about the NATO attack on Serbia. They feel betrayed by the assurances of this "defensive" alliance that it would never use its military might in an offensive way--that it would never try to impose its will on neighbors.

No matter how you slice it, that's just what NATO has done in the Balkans. You can rationalize it all you want. You can pretend this action is humanitarian in nature and only designed to protect civilians from harm. The fact is that more civilians have been killed since this war began than in the weeks and months prior. It looks like imperialism. It smells like imperialism. It sounds like imperialism. It feels like imperialism.

Not only has the NATO mission failed miserably in its primary stated objective of humanitarian relief, it has moved the entire world precipitously closer to Armageddon. Is it all a big blunder? Or is there globalist calculation behind this apparent madness?

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1.33    Who are the real warmongers?

1.33.1      Source: Times of Zambia

LUSAKA — Africa is very rich in natural resources, but she never prospers, the log jam to prosperity being conflicts. African conflicts are a lucrative business. They are, in the main, sponsored by European thugs. Those are the real warlords, but who, sadly, never feature at war crime tribunals.

Look at Angola. The country is endowed with vast deposits of diamonds. But the country is aflame. Raped. Poor. Bleeding. And festering with disease and death. Who sells the Angolan diamonds? UNITA. To whom? No one knows. But veiled media reports abound on Angolan diamond sales. Sierra Leone is aflame, too. Scout for the European perpetrators; you will find them. In the Great Lakes region [of central Africa] bloodbath, France is accused of complicity. Some French politicians have testified to this effect.

The U.S. is renowned for backing coups, always muddying waters everywhere. It is only Saddam Hussein, Muamar Gaddafi and Fidel Castro who they have lamentably failed to bring down. But they have inflicted a great deal of misery on their peoples.

The U.S. can install you, no matter how much blood is shed in the process, and they can turn against you in the twinkling of an eye if you differ with them. Ask Saddam Hussein and Laurent Kabila [leader of the Congo since Mobutu’s ouster].

Europeans come for wealth while the U.S. and other powers want bases, bastions of influence. America fights other countries away from her home, inflicting damage and untold misery. Only Japan has tried to take war to American soil. Hiroshima and Nagasaki tell the story of the Japanese mistake.

The warlords—the sponsors of insurgency—work in tandem with the twofold gadfly: the IMF and World Bank. An economy is blown up, and then the financial oppressors stride in briskly and unsmilingly. They bring you the dollar and throw you into a furnace and lock it up. It is only the financial institutions that walk away with a profit, the behind-the-scenes muggers aside.

Look at the Asian financial crisis. How in God’s name can an economy like Japan’s go into recession? Economic war. The next to nosedive economically is China. Be sure the economic microbes are at work there. Don’t for a moment think it is impossible to bring a country like China to her knees. Where is the USSR?

The U.S. reigns supreme. She is the international law, the jury, the prosecutor and the executioner—all neatly rolled into one. But, really, nobody should spend sleepless nights over America. There have been mighty empires before like Tyre, Babylon, and Rome. The tragedy, however, would be for Africa if Christ came before she triumphed over poverty, disease and war.

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1.34    Expansion of Western alliance makes arms folks happy

1.34.1      Source: Fort Worth Star-Telegram

On March 12, Poland, Hungary and the Czech Republic officially joined NATO. American officials were jubilant—as were American arms makers. Here’s why, from an article written a few months ago:

For a really, really bad idea, try expanding NATO to include Poland, Hungary and the Czech Republic. You may wonder how such a bad idea has gotten so far. Simple: The U.S. arms lobby wants this one real, real bad, and it has put a huge slug of money into buying it through Congress.

Expanding the North Atlantic Treaty Organization is the product of Lockheed Martin, Boeing, etc. In fact, Lockheed Martin’s Vice President Bruce L. Jackson is also president of the U.S. Committee to Expand NATO—isn’t that nice? Bernard L. Schwartz, another top gun at Lockheed, has been a top individual soft-money donor to Democratic Party committees, contributing a generous $601,000 in 1995–96. Lockheed as a whole put $2.3 million into the political system campaign in the same period.

The Clinton administration and the Pentagon claim that expanding NATO will cost $400 million, which is nonsense. Try tens of billions—the United States has already spent $1.2 billion when you count all the arms-export subsidies over the last three years, according to the World Policy Institute.

You see, we taxpayers subsidize the arms manufacturers; programs to promote arms exports are squirreled away all over the Pentagon, the State Department and the Commerce Department. Boeing, Lockheed and others have been all over Eastern Europe touting NATO, running seminars, buttering up officials.

How come? The weapons makers stand to make billions. Jet fighters, choppers, guns, tanks, missiles. The United States loans money to these countries so they can in turn buy weapons from U.S. manufacturers.

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1.35    The highest battlefield on Earth

1.35.1      Source: Los Angeles Times

SIACHEN GLACIER, Indo-Pakistani Border—In this frozen wasteland, the historic rivalry between India and Pakistan seems as enduring as the glacial ice. On the Siachen Glacier, where temperatures drop to 50 below zero, the frostbitten armies of two implacable foes have faced each other for 15 years in a conflict both bloody and surreal.Cold and crevasses kill more troops than opposing armies. In the high, frigid air, skin bonds with metal, sweat turns to ice, and there’s not enough oxygen to light a match. Artillery shells, freed from the normal laws of ballistics, sail for miles.

The fight for Siachen has cost two of the world’s poorest countries a combined 3,500 dead and 10,000 injured, and an estimated $1 million a day. Now, after a meeting between the prime ministers of India and Pakistan, both governments are signaling that they may be willing to pull back from their high-altitude fight. A growing number of voices say neither nation should sacrifice another life to hold on to a block of prehistoric ice.

Siachen, the world’s largest glacier outside the polar regions, straddles the Himalayan territory where India, China and Pakistan collide. A spectacular river of congealed snow, the 48-mile-long Siachen forms the eastern edge of the Karakoram Mountains, where five peaks reach higher than 26,000 feet.

The war on the Siachen Glacier seems part Ice Age and part Flash Gordon. Village-born troops on both sides roam the frozen wastes with the most modern equipment, darting through mile-deep gorges in $1-million helicopters and firing at enemies they cannot see.

Guns freeze here; so do cameras. Pick up a rifle without a pair of gloves, and the skin peels from the fingers. If he strays from one of the designated footpaths, a soldier risks being swallowed by a hidden, snow-covered crevasse. One ravine cuts straight through Pakistani headquarters, bridged only by three wobbly switches of bamboo. "Fall into there, and you go to God," said one soldier, pointing into the abyss.

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1.36    Bioterrorism: 'A very real scenario'

BiowarA lone terrorist creates a designer microbe deadly enough to annihilate most of Manhattan. After it's unleashed into the air, the virus will jump, silently, from person to person, infecting millions of unknowing victims. Air travelers will spread the microbe across the nation--and thousands will die within weeks. It hasn't happened yet, but it could.

The compelling tale is fiction, but presents a potentially very real scenario, said U.S. Health and Human Services Secretary Donna Shalala, who gave the keynote address at the start of a meeting on bioterrorism.

The effects of chemical warfare are often obvious immediately after an attack, allowing public-health officials time to mobilize and clean up the area within hours or days. But a biological attack might not be evident until weeks after the initial infection. And by then, the silent microbes could have spread to thousands, killing most in their wake.

While there are any number of organisms that bioterrorists could use as weapons, smallpox and anthrax are the big two that are capable of causing disease and death sufficient to cripple a city, even a country, experts said.

And if you thought smallpox was eradicated, think again, they said. Yes, the World Health Assembly announced in 1980 that smallpox had been obliterated and recommended that all countries cease vaccination. But that same year, the Soviet government embarked on an ambitious program to grow smallpox in large quantities and adapt it for use in bombs and intercontinental ballistic missiles.

"We now know unequivocally that the former Soviet Union continued to produce biowarfare agents even in the face of the 1970s ban on such weapons," said Dr. Christopher Davis, director of the ORAQ Consultancy Group in Marlborough, U.K. "The questions now are, What happened to the seed stocks? What about the planning documents? The equipment?"

BioterrorismSome of the reasons bioterrorists prefer smallpox are its high fatality rates--it kills some 30 percent of its victims--and its long incubation periods--up to 14 days. While the victims do not experience symptoms during these two weeks, they can infect others.

There is no treatment and it is easily spread from person to person. And since no one in the United States has been vaccinated during the past 25 years, even those immunized before that time are unlikely to still be protected.

Anthrax could also be used by terrorists. Given appropriate weather and wind conditions, 50 kilograms (110 pounds) of anthrax released from an aircraft along a 2 kilometer (1.2 mile) line could create a lethal cloud of anthrax spores that would extend beyond 20 kilometers (12 miles) downwind. The aerosol cloud would be colorless, odorless and invisible. And given the small size of the spores, they are as likely to infect people indoors as those on the street.

An analysis by the Office of Technology Assessment of the U.S. Congress estimated that 130,000 to 3 million deaths could occur following the release of 100 kilograms (220 pounds) of aerosolized anthrax over Washington D.C., making such an attack as lethal as a hydrogen bomb.

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1.37    Arms around the world

It was the early 1990s and then-Presidential candidate Bill Clinton was on the campaign trail making promises: "I expect to review our arms sales policy and to take it up with the other major arms sellers of the world as a part of a long-term effort to reduce the proliferation of weapons."

"The civilized world wishes to express it's on going regrets..." Ah, campaign promises. But the economy was in the doldrums, and the prospect of cutting arms sales didn't thrill either labor or corporate America. What's more, the Gulf War had just ended the previous year, and it was the best extended commercial an arms salesman could ask for. (Indeed, some arms manufacturers incorporated bombing videos into their promotional materials.) Countries were clamoring for the high-tech weapons that made for such good TV.

So, once elected, Bill Clinton did what he does best: He took advantage of the opportunity. Rather than insert human-rights concerns into the arms-sales equation, as did his Democratic predecessor President Carter, Clinton decided to aggressively continue the sales policies. The results were immediate: During Clinton's first year in office, U.S. arms sales more than doubled. From 1993 to 1997, the U.S. government sold, approved, or gave away $190 billion in weapons to virtually every nation on earth.

The arms industry, meanwhile, has greased the wheels. It filled the Democratic Party coffers to the tune of nearly $2 million in the 1998 election cycle.

The Clinton administration has not been shy about arming potential foes in regional conflicts. For example, two of America's biggest arms customers are Greece and Turkey, which have been threatening to go to war with each other for decades over the Mediterranean island of Cyprus. Though barred by Congress from selling offensive weapons to Cyprus itself, in 1997 the U.S. sold (or allowed American corporations to sell) more than $270 million worth of weapons to Greece and nearly $750 million worth to Turkey. Now if there's a war, the two NATO allies can blast away at one another with far greater efficiency, thanks to the U.S. defense industry and its cheerleader, Bill Clinton.

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1.38    Report of cyberwar againts US military from Russian computer networks

1.38.1      Source: ABC News / CNN

1.38.1.1      Date: May 1999

The U.S. Department of Defense has told the press that the Pentagon's military computer systems are being subjected to ongoing, sophisticated and organized cyber-attacks probably from Russian computer networks. And unlike past attacks by teenage hackers, officials believe the latest series of strikes at defense networks may be a concerted and coordinated effort coming from abroad. Deputy Defense Secretary Hamre was quoted as saying, "This is an ongoing law enforcement and intelligence matter...I cannot emphasize strongly enough the seriousness of the insider threat to our information systems and, through those systems, to the Department's operations." The U.S. National Counterintelligence Center has learned that foreign secret services were regularly penetrating Russian computer networks and that foreign government hackers may be getting help from within the U.S. government.

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1.39    New Russian Submarines to be built

1.39.1      Source: AP

1.39.1.1      Date: April 30, 1999

Russia is building the new, advanced, Amur class submarine to increase international sales as navies around the world upgrade their forces. The submarine will be able to stay submerged for up to 40 days. It is estimated that 120 of the diesel-electric submarines would be built in the next 10 year. The Amur reportedly features powerful weapons, high maneuverability and extended range.

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1.40    NATO To Become Worldwide Police Force

1.40.1      Source: UPI

1.40.1.1      Date: Apr 24 , 1999

NATO's 19 nations have endorsed a new blueprint for the millennium that authorizes the powerful military alliance to act as a kind of worldwide police force whenever human rights are threatened. In a 45-point communique the alliance leaders agreed to undertaking operations outside of their territory and endorsed a new role in combating the threat from terrorists or terrorist states with weapons of mass destruction.

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1.41    Anthrax easily smuggled into House hearing

1.41.1      Source: LA Times

1.41.1.1      Date: April 1999

A leading U.S. expert on biological warfare walked through security at the Rayburn House Office Building on Wednesday [in March] carrying 7 grams of powdered anthrax in a small plastic bottle, proceeding directly to a hearing about biological terrorism before the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence and displaying his deadly sample. He wanted to prove how easy it would be for a terrorist to use biological weapons even in high security areas in the U.S. The expert, William Patrick III, was quoted as saying, "I've been through all the major airports and the security systems of the State Department, the Pentagon, even the CIA [carrying the anthrax], and nobody has stopped me."

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1.42    NATO plans to choke Serb oil supples; Possible confrontation with Russia

1.42.1      Source: Yahoo!

1.42.1.1      Date: Apr 24 , 1999

President Clinton Saturday defended NATO plans to choke oil supplies fueling Serb forces in Kosovo, Reuters reported. At NATO's 50th anniversary summit which has been overshadowed by the Kosovo crisis, Clinton said an oil embargo against Yugoslavia was the next important tactical step. Risking possible confrontation with Russia -- Serbia's major oil supplier before air strikes started on March 24 -- NATO said it was drawing up plans to "visit and search" ships bound for Yugoslavia.

Splits over the oil blockade emerged in the 19-nation bloc at the summit, originally called to map NATO's mission into the next century but which has turned into a council of war. Stopping Russian tankers from delivering oil could antagonize Moscow at a time when NATO leaders want Russia to help mediate a settlement with Belgrade and contribute troops to a force to protect ethnic Albanians returning to Kosovo.

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1.43    The dangerous Balkans game

1.43.1      Source: Worldnet Daily

1.43.1.1      Date: April 19, 1999

Fighter LaunchThree weeks into the U.S.-NATO war on Serbia, I still haven't heard a single explanation of this conflict that makes sense. Why would Clinton do it? Why would NATO allies go along with the plan? What can be gained from these attacks? The so-called "humanitarian" rationalization doesn't compute. As reported in WorldNetDaily, the CIA warned prior to the bombing raids that the Albanian refugee crisis would only worsen as a result of such attacks.

I strongly suspect that the Serb war was intended, in part, as a smokescreen for the growing Chinagate scandal. But even that explanation is inadequate for entering a game as dangerous as the Balkans quagmire. What do I mean? Well, Russian military maneuvers signal that this conflict, with one more misstep, could easily ignite World War III. Then there was the report in the Washington Times last Friday by Bill Gertz suggesting the Serbs possess enough nuclear materials to manufacture primitive strategic weapons of mass destruction.

A retired explosive ordnance disposal technician for the U.S. Air Force tells me that such "radioactive dispersal devices" are "the government's worst nightmare for domestic and international terrorism threats."

"Thorium is used in the manufacture of lantern mantles for companies like Coleman," he reports. "Thorium is a very high 'alpha emitter.' You take a case of lantern mantles and add a dispersal device such as a sprayer or stick of explosive or even make a 6th grade science class soda pop bomb from dry ice and water. Add the lantern mantles to the mix and when it explodes, it will contaminate the area with alpha radiation. When you consider that such items as smoke detectors have radioactive sources such as Americium and old x-ray machines are dumped with at least a pound of Cesium scrap left in them, then you get an idea of how easy the devices are to build. A skyscraper in New York City would be a perfect launch point for using one of these because it would cover a greater area and denser population."

But our expert adds: "I don't think the Serbs are willing to waste weapons grade material for such a small potential target or limited use when they actually have the amount they are reported to have." In other words, the Serbs could do much more than build a few "dirty nukes."

But, could they deliver them to a strategic target? You bet. In fact, recently, a high-placed source tells me, members of Congress received a classified briefing strongly suggesting the Serbs have inter-continental ballistic missiles capable of hitting the United States. I will repeat that: The Serbs have ICBMs capable of hitting the U.S.

U.S. intelligence agencies assume Belgrade has this capability thanks to technology left behind from the old Soviet Union. In other words, the U.S. and NATO are tangling with a rogue nation that might just be able to wipe out a U.S. city or two if they really get angry enough.

Are you beginning to see why this illegal, immoral war is more than a little misguided? Each day this criminal action proceeds it becomes more obvious that Woodstock was better planned than the conflict in Serbia. Clinton is literally gambling with the lives of millions in a senseless escalation of hostilities in a land that has seldom known real peace in the last 600-plus years.

This is the 33rd foreign military adventure Clinton has engaged in since taking office in 1993. Serbia is the fourth nation he has bombed in the last seven months. Bill Clinton is rapidly becoming the mad bomber. Iraq, Afghanistan, Sudan, now Serbia. Who's next?

In Serbia, Clinton has substantially ratcheted up the risks for the U.S. There was little chance of getting our butts kicked in Afghanistan, Sudan or Iraq. But Serbia is tough, well-armed and backed by some powerful friends.

Sen. James Inhofe, R-Okla., says the deployment of ground troops has already begun. Some 4,800 soldiers are being dispatched to staging areas in Albania in support of Apache helicopters. Up to 33,000 guard and reserve troops are being activated. Meanwhile, Clinton is warning this is going to be a long and bloody conflict.

The question remains: Why?

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1.44    Russia working to upgrade thousands of MiGs worldwide

1.44.1      Source: Associated Press

1.44.1.1      Date: Apr 21 , 1999

Russia is testing new missiles and avionics to cheaply upgrade the MiG-21 fighter plane so it can take on modern Western jets, a news agency reported Wednesday. The new equipment would make the upgraded MiG-21-93 comparable to such Western fighters as the U.S. F-15 and F-16 and the French Mirage 2000. There are some 6,000 MiG-21s in service around the world and the Sokol Aviation Plant hopes the upgrade package will be purchased by dozens of nations. The MiG-21 has long been outperformed by more modern Western fighters, but many poor nations are not able to afford new jets. Sokol says the upgrade package will offer an affordable option that will make the MiG-21s, which first went into operation in 1958, more effective.

Vasily Pankov, the plant's director, said the missiles are being tested under a contract to upgrade 125 MiG-21s for India's air force. Sokol is inviting defense officials from other nations to observe the tests. Russia has carved out a major niche on the world arms market with cheap weapons. Russian arms companies have also focused on cheap upgrades of arms, partly because the Russian military cannot afford new planes and other arms.

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1.45    Military computers seen vulnerable to hackers

1.45.1      Source: Foxnews.com (AP)

1.45.1.1      Date: Mar 1999

Military computer and communications systems are "increasingly compromised'' and vulnerable to attack by hackers and high-tech enemies, concluded a Pentagon-sponsored study released Monday. Although the Defense Department is working to improve cybersecurity, the study said technological advances are outpacing the Pentagon's sluggish moves to protect vital information used in today's battles. James McGroddy, chairman of the National Research Council committee that wrote the study said command, control, computer, communications and intelligence systems "the nervous system of the military'' are aging fast while the high-tech tools to attack it are generally thought to be improving by a factor of 10 every five years.

The Defense Department, the report said, "is in an increasingly compromised position. The rate at which information systems are being relied on outstrips the rate at which they are being protected.'' Art Money, the civilian official in charge of the Pentagon's information security, told a Senate Armed Service Committee panel last week that the military is working to better protect its more than 2 million computers from outside penetration and inside attack.

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1.46    Development of weapons to target specific ethnic groups to be available soon

1.46.1      Source: Reuters

1.46.1.1      Date: March 1999

According to Dr. Vivienne Nathanson, the head of health policy research at the British Medical Association, "genetic information is already being used to enhance biological weapons. Biological and genetic weapons designed to kill specific ethnic or racial groups are no longer the stuff of science fiction...A designer plague that would only kill Serbs or a toxin engineered to affect Israelis or Kurds does not exist yet but advances in biotechnology and the mapping of all human genes could be misused to develop lethal weapons within five to 10 years."

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1.47    Lost horizon: The world expected peace, but got a new brutality

1.47.1      Source: New York Times Service

1.47.1.1      Date: March, 1999

Soldier in Serria LeoneAround the world the crises pile up, and the collage of headlines does not make a pretty picture. In Kosovo, babies die of cold on hillsides where mothers have fled to save their lives. In Sierra Leone, madmen posing as a rebel army cut off the hands of teen-aged boys and trap families in their homes to torch them. Angolans shoot down relief planes. Haiti spirals back into chaos. And the chief judge of an international tribunal is stopped cold at Serbia's border when she tries to investigate crimes against humanity in Kosovo.

Who's in charge here?

In the last year of the century, the newer, saner world order which was confidently anticipated when communism collapsed a decade ago is nowhere to be seen. The problem is magnified by the characters of the combatants and of the causes. A great many of today's conflicts are civil wars, and 100 years of conventions written to make war civilized are useless pieces of paper in these fights. Ordinary people are the targets and the fodder of rogue militias. Nine times more civilians than combatants die. Battles are fought over no apparent principles, only greed and power.

UNICEF, the U.N. children's fund, recently reported that nearly 50 million children and women are in immediate and extreme danger worldwide, causing an agency better known for immunization drives and schoolbooks to rethink its programs in countries where disaster preparedness may have to be given priority instead.

With international peacekeeping all but dead, armies of relief workers are on the front lines. But these angels of mercy are cut no slack either. More aid workers than peacekeeping troops are now dying in the field. At least 173 U.N. relief officials have been killed in about five years.

"Ideas are much smaller now," said Arthur Helton, an international lawyer who directs migration projects at the Open Society Institute. "The circumstances are far more driven by self interest or the perception of self interest." Conflicts, he added, now ride on causes that are "regional, subregional, even to the point of clans--the atomization of societies."

Small ideas. Big egos. War in Africa. Butchery in the Balkans. Could this be reminiscent of the start of the 20th century as much as a definition of its end?

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1.48    Arms expert warns U.S. cities face nuclear terrorism threat

1.48.1      Source: Pittsburgh Post-Gazette

1.48.1.1      Date: March, 1999

The odds are that an American city will be destroyed by a nuclear weapon within ten years, an architect of the U.N. weapons inspection program in Iraq predicted. Ambassador Robert Gallucci gave a chilling overview of the parlous state of nuclear proliferation at a luncheon sponsored by the World Affairs Council.

His nightmare scenario: "One of these days, one of these governments fabricates one or two nuclear weapons, gives it to a terrorism group created for this purpose. The group brings one of these bombs into Baltimore by boat, and drives another one up to Pittsburgh.

"And then the message comes in to the White House: Adjust your policy in the Middle East, or on Tuesday you lose Baltimore, and on Wednesday you lose Pittsburgh. Tuesday comes, and we lose Baltimore. What does the United States do?"

His estimate of the likelihood of the nightmare scenario coming true: better than 50-50.

For years, whenever the CIA director was asked by a member of Congress how long it would take for Iran, Iraq, or North Korea to build a nuclear weapon, he would say, "about ten years," Gallucci said. The correct answer now, Gallucci said, is: "I don't know, senator. They may have it already."

It takes fissile material about the size of a softball to build a nuclear bomb. There are thousands of tons of enriched uranium and plutonium in Russia, much of it poorly secured.

The primary threat won't come from missiles, Gallucci predicted. "Ships, planes and trucks are also good ways to deliver nuclear weapons. We don't have very good defenses against those, either. If you want to sneak a nuclear weapon into the United States, hide it in a bale of marijuana."

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1.49    UK: Hackers seize military satellite

1.49.1      Source: Excite News

1.49.1.1      Date: Feb 28, 1999

Hackers have reportedly seized control of one of Britain's military communication satellites and issued blackmail threats, Reuters quoted The Sunday Business newspaper as reporting. The paper, quoting security sources, said the intruders altered the course of one of Britain's four satellites which are used by defense planners and military forces around the world.

"This is not just a case of computer nerds mucking about. This is very, very serious and the blackmail threat has made it even more serious," one security source said.

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1.50    Think tank warns of cyberterrorist plots

1.50.1      Source: IDG

1.50.1.1      Date: Jan 1999

Cyber WarCyberterrorists are plotting all manner of heinous attacks that if successful could "destabilize and eventually destroy targeted states and societies," according to a gloomy new report from the Center for Strategic and International Studies. The report, which offers recommendations for averting cyberwarfare, has in its introduction alone enough dire news to make the year 2000 computer glitch seem like a minute blip on the worry scale.

Consider this: "Information warfare specialists at the Pentagon estimate that a properly prepared and well-coordinated attack by fewer than 30 computer virtuosos strategically located around the world, with a budget of less than $10 million, could bring the United States to its knees."

"Such a strategic attack, mounted by a cyberterrorist group … would shut down everything from electric power grids to air traffic control centers. A combination of cyberweapons, poison gas, and even nuclear devices could produce a global Waterloo for the United States."

For those who believe U.S. intelligence and law enforcement agencies have a handle on the threat of cyberterrorism, consider this: "In fact, law enforcement's electronic capabilities are from 5 to 10 years behind the transnational crime curve."

With that comforting thought in mind, the report notes, "Cyberterrorists, acting for rogue states or groups that have declared holy war against the United States, are known to be plotting America's demise as a superpower."

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1.51    U.S. Airforce report says controlling the weather the ultimate weapon

1.51.1      Source: WorldNetDaily

1.51.1.1      Date: January 1999

For centuries man has sought the ability to predict and control weather patterns, though the ability to do so has remained elusive. Besides lacking the technology, ethical concerns have held back development of what could be the ultimate weapon.

However a research paper written by officers in the U.S. Air Force concludes that weather-modification is inevitable and that to prevent other nations from developing this technology into a weapon they can employ against the United States, the U.S. should do so first.

In about 30 years, the report said, the United States should have the ability not only to control local and regional weather patterns but to apply that technology in a number of military scenarios. Authors of the report believe it is in the best interests of the U.S. military and, specifically, the Air Force, to be able to control or create weather elements such as precipitation fog, and full-blown storms for military uses.

Air Force Chief of Staff Gen. Michael E. Ryan commissioned the report called "Weather as A Force Multiplier: Owning the Weather In 2025." It was first presented on June 17, 1996.

Military planners have often bemoaned the fact that during critical operations weather has been a mitigating factor. Though the U.S. military is generally considered superior to the forces of other nations and can wage war in most kinds of weather, Air Force operations traditionally have suffered the most from inclement weather like rain, fog, and other low-visibility conditions.

For example, the report said that a significant number of air sorties into the city of Tuzla during the initial deployment supporting the Bosnian peace operation were aborted due to poor weather. And during Operation Desert Storm, Gen. Buster C. Glosson once asked his weather officer to tell him which targets would be clear in 48 hours for inclusion in the initial bombing campaign over Iraq and Kuwait.

The report also said that "over 50 percent of the F-117 sorties (were) weather aborted over their targets and A-10s only flew 75 of 200 scheduled close air support (CAS) missions due to low cloud cover during the first two days of the campaign.

For the purpose of this report the Air Force defined weather-modification as "the alteration of weather phenomena over a limited area for a limited period of time." The authors predicted that within the next three decades the concept of weather-modification could expand to include the ability to shape weather patterns by "influencing their determining factors."

For example, when faced with an enemy which may have technological or numerical superiority in terms of air power in any given area of the world, quite simply the U.S. is hoping to develop the technology to alter the weather patterns over that specific theater of operations. The military says it is imperative because it believes other countries -- some of which are potentially hostile to the U.S. -- are attempting to develop their own weather-modification capability.

"Achieving such a highly accurate and reasonably precise weather-modification capability in the next 30 years will require overcoming some challenging but not insurmountable technological and legal hurdles," the report said. The authors believe that altering weather patterns will eventually become an "integral part of U.S. national security policy with both domestic and international applications."

The U.S. currently has a limited number of weather-modification technologies available. But the report said that "technology advancements in five major areas are necessary for an integrated weather modification capability," which include "advanced nonlinear modeling techniques, computational capability, information gathering and transmission, a global sensor array, and weather intervention techniques." Even though "some intervention tools exist today," new technologies "may be developed and refined in the future."

The Air Force said that by 2025 it fully expects to be able to influence the weather "on a mesoscale (<200 sq km) or microscale (immediate local area) to achieve operational capabilities." They plan to implement this technology by using highly trained "weather force specialists (WFS)," as well as access ports to the "global weather network, a dense, highly accurate local area weather sensing and communication system," and "proven" weather-modification technologies.

While more accurate weather forecasting has been an objective for a number of years in the private sector, clearly this report signals a shift in government policy from developing a primarily civilian-oriented forecast technology to a military technology designed to alter weather activity and patterns.

"Efforts are already under way to create more comprehensive weather models primarily to improve forecasts, but researchers are also trying to influence the results of these models by adding small amounts of energy at just the right time and space," the report said. "These programs are extremely limited at the moment and are not yet validated, but there is great potential to improve them in the next 30 years."

Currently other countries, such as China, are developing laser technology so they can employ beams against U.S. spy satellites, thus disabling them, rather than spend money on research to alter weather activity in the upper atmospheres. That option, say experts, is limited in scope and cumbersome, though they did not offer any information about whether or not such laser technology could be effectively miniaturized in 30 years so satellite lasers could be more easily deployed, like a missile battery or an artillery piece.

"It sounds like they (the military) want a system they can employ globally from fixed locations, without having to move it (the weather-modification system) around," said one source who requested anonymity.

"Modification of the near-space environment is crucial to battlespace dominance," the report continued. "General Charles Horner, former commander in chief, United States space command, described his worst nightmare as 'seeing an entire Marine battalion wiped out on some foreign landing zone because he was unable to deny the enemy intelligence and imagery generated from space.'"

To accomplish this, Air Force officials believe they can successfully modify the ionosphere as well, thus enabling commanders on the ground to achieve air and intelligence superiority over vast expanses of land -- perhaps even an entire military theater of operations or an entire continent. "There is a strong motivation for this research, because induced ionospheric modifications may influence, or even disrupt" an enemy's entire radio communications capability.

The report continued, "As more countries pursue, develop, and exploit increasing types and degrees of weather-modification technologies, we must be able to detect their efforts and counter their activities when necessary. As depicted, the technologies and capabilities associated with such a counter weather role will become increasingly important."

"The lessons of history indicate a real weather-modification capability will eventually exist despite the risk (because) the drive exists. People have always wanted to control the weather and their desire will compel them to collectively and continuously pursue their goal," the report concluded.

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1.52    Children often main targets of war, UN says

1.52.1      Source: AP

1.52.1.1      Date: Jan 1999

Children are increasingly the innocent victims of war: Two million have been killed since 1987, six million have been seriously injured or permanently disabled, and 300,000 are currently fighting in government or rebel armies, according to a new UN report.

"Not only are millions of children still the victims of war, far too often they are its principal targets and even its instruments," the UN envoy for children and armed conflict, Olara Otunnu, said in his first annual report.

Children are suffering from the effects of armed conflict in approximately 50 countries, and fighting is still continuing in about 30 of these countries, he said in a news conference.

"From Sierra Leone to Tajikistan, from Liberia to Cambodia, from the Sudan to Kosovo, from Sri Lanka to Afghanistan, millions of children are being robbed of their childhood and left with mangled lives," Otunnu said.

An alarming trend is the growing use of child soldiers. The number of children under the age of 18 serving as combatants in government armed forces or armed opposition groups in ongoing conflicts is estimated to have increased from 250,000 about 2 1/2 years ago to 300,000 today, Otunnu said.

"Many more are being used in indirect ways that are more difficult to measure, such as cooks, messengers and porters. Children have also been used for mine clearance, spying and suicide bombing," he said.

Otunnu said he is working to mobilize public opinion and political pressure "against this terrible trend."

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1.53    North Korea threatens "sea of fire" if attacked

1.53.1      Source: BBC

1.53.1.1      Date: Jan 21 , 1999

North Korea has accused the US and South Korea of preparing for nuclear war, and said it will turn both countries into a sea of fire if it is attacked. The South Korean president, Kim Dae-Jung has meanwhile warned his country to be ready for a surprise attack by the North. The BBC Seoul correspondent says that these are some of the strongest exchanges for sometime between the two countries, and that they're probably a bargaining ploy as talks continue in Geneva. The negotiations, involving the two Koreas, the US and China are aimed at reaching a peace settlement to replace the armistice that ended the Korean War in the 1950s.

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1.54    Is this Weimar Russia?

1.54.1      Source: US News & World Report

MOSCOW--The president is old, tired, and very possibly senile. Hyperinflation is making the currency worthless. Once a great power, the country feels beaten down, and its weak democracy may soon be crushed by a hybrid of nationalism and socialism. Is this Russia in the 1990s? Or Germany on the eve of Hitler taking power?

It could be either. Since the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991, several prominent historians have called attention to the frightening parallels between contemporary Russia and Germany's Weimar Republic, which lasted from 1918 to 1933. But never has the comparison seemed as apt as it does today, with the Russian economy in shambles and President Boris Yeltsin surrendering daily control over government affairs to Prime Minister Yevgeni Primakov.

In the aftermath of World War I, Germany had to swallow the punishing terms of the Versailles Treaty, giving up territory and stifling its arms industry. "It was a country that lost a war, lost its dignity, and tried to become a democracy under the worst possible conditions," says Alexander Konovalov, a historian and political analyst at Russia's ORT television network. Similarly, he argues, Russia today is reeling from a tacit defeat in the cold war and has "lost huge amounts of territory, one half of its gross domestic product, and 10 years of male life expectancy."

Yeltsin's 1930s counterpart was Paul von Hindenburg, the German president and former general who was considered the guarantor of the German Constitution. Yet it was an exhausted, befuddled Hindenburg in his second term of office who opened the door of power to Adolf Hitler in 1933.

Like Berliners in the early 1930s, Muscovites openly mock their president's mental capacity: In recent months, Yeltsin mistakenly identified Japan and Germany as nuclear powers, failed to recognize one of his own ministers during a public appearance, and blabbered incoherently at a press conference.

Konovalov believes that the chaos and corruption that have accompanied democracy have made many Russians long for the totalitarian past: "The desire for security, for law and order, probably outweighs the desire for freedom." And demonstrators are resorting again to rhetoric that would have been perfectly familiar to Germans 50 years ago, blaming a conspiracy of scheming Jews and vengeful Westerners for Russia's problems.

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1.55    Marine Corps Operation Urban Warrior

1.55.1      Source: Federal Digest

The Marine Corps is gearing up for a high-tech military experiment designed to prepare Marines to fight in what some experts are calling the battlefields of the future -- the world's urban areas.

Dubbed Urban Warrior, the Marine Corps' advanced war-fighting experiment will take place in March throughout the streets, sewers and buildings of San Francisco. Marine Corps officials met in San Diego last month with their Navy counterparts to iron out details of the experiment, which will focus on developing technology to help Marines fight battles in a dense urban landscape.

The Marines' challenge stems from the inability of standard command, control, communications, computers and intelligence (C4I) systems to overcome interference caused by concrete walls, phone lines, electronic devices and urban structures. To meet these challenges, the Marines will experiment with technologies that include wireless communications devices, high-bandwidth satellite links, remotely piloted reconnaissance aircraft, visualization applications and global positioning system links.

The centerpiece of the Marines' integrated C4I capability will be the Experimental Combat Operations Center (ECOC). Initially operated aboard ship, ECOC workstations can be moved ashore when a command post is established and will provide Marines fighting throughout the city with computer-based modeling, simulation and visualization tools that will enhance the ability of commanders to "see" the urban battlefield.

An array of sensors and data feeds, including unmanned aerial vehicles and palmtop computers, will feed workstations and large-screen displays in the ECOC with real-time information on enemy and friendly forces.

Urban Warrior focused heavily on developing and maintaining databases that are accessible to individual unit leaders operating in a maze of buildings, stairways, alleys and subterranean passageways. For example, for Marines to know where they are in a city and the fastest and easiest routes to take, they must have instant access to digital maps, photos and building floor plans.

1.56    Pentagon Dubs Cyberspace Key Battlefield

1.56.1      Source: Federal Digest

SAN DIEGO -- The Defense Department last week revealed its plan for how the military services will carry out offensive and defensive information operations in future wars -- a move that holds wide-ranging implications for information systems.

The Joint Chiefs of Staff formally codified in October an Information Operations (IO) doctrine when it endorsed a guidance document called "Joint Publication 3-13," according to Daniel Kuehl, chairman of the Information Operations Department, School of Information Warfare and Strategy at the National Defense University.

Kuehl said the new doctrine treats cyberspace as "a critical environment [and] moves information operations from an ad hoc process and institutionalizes it."

Although doctrinal publications are rarely visionary in nature, " 'Joint Pub 3-13' was clearly written with Joint Vision 2010 in mind," Kuehl said. Joint Vision 2010 is a DOD effort to create seamless battlefield communications across the services. "This [new document] institutionalizes a process for looking at IO as a strategy and makes it part of the planning process for all joint [military] plans."

Offensive IO will include such existing military operations as psychological operations, electronic warfare, physical attacks or destruction of enemy information systems, special information operations "and may include computer network attack," Shelton said. The doctrine foresees offensive IO conducted "at all levels of war -- strategic, operational and tactical -- throughout the battlespace," he said.

The doctrine broadens the definition of an adversary, including not only attacks by a known enemy state but also any IO threat "that is organized, resourced and politically sponsored [and] motivated to affect decision-makers," including hackers, criminals and organized crime, industrial and economic espionage, and in some cases, terrorism, Shelton said.

The National Security Agency, the Defense Intelligence Agency and the Defense Information Systems Agency will support IO for the combatant commands and the Joint Staff. The DIA will be given the responsibility of selecting key offensive IO targets, help combat commanders develop a
command intelligence architecture to support IO and detect IO attacks in cooperation with DISA.

DISA will be charged with protecting the Defense Information Infrastructure, and the NSA will provide information security and operational security products as well as analyze the vulnerability and threats to U.S. and allied information systems. On the operational side, the Special Forces Command was directed to begin IO training and "organize forces with capabilities to conduct IO...across the range of military operations,"

A Pentagon source said the Joint Chiefs have put an "intense" effort behind the newly established Joint Task Force for Computer Network Defense, which is located in DISA's Global Security Operations Center. In addition, the newly prescribed doctrine may pave the way for use of the reserves in a homeland cyberdefense role, the source said.

Lt. Col. Kathleen Harrison, director of the Command and Control Branch of the Doctrine Division at the Marine Corps' Combat Development Command, Quantico, Va., said no great policy changes have taken place yet in light of the new doctrine guidance. However, Harrison said the Navy and Marine Corps plan to issue in the summer a Naval Command and Control Warfare Doctrine publication, which will consider the new guidance published by the JCS.

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1.57    U.S. security plans risk 'electronic Waterloo'

1.57.1      Source: The Watchman

Presidential efforts to prepare the nation for information warfare have been too weak to avoid an "electronic Waterloo," according to a three-year assessment of the growing threat to national security released Tuesday by a Washington, D.C.-based think tank.

The Center for Strategic and International Studies concluded in its report that a directive issued in May by President Clinton to protect the information systems that run the nation's water, power, banking and other core industries has not done enough to protect these systems from possible debilitating cyberattacks. The directive, based on recommendations made by the Presidential Commission on Critical Infrastructure Protection, required federal agencies to identify key computer systems and to work with private companies to ramp up the nation's defenses against electronic attacks.

"The president's commission has identified only the tip of a very large iceberg," according to the report. "The battleground of the future will encompass the very foundations of America's knowledge-based, high-tech economy. There are now info-guerillas intent on doing major damage to the citadel of capitalism, and cybergeniuses in their late teens and early 20s are the new front-line fighters, arguably more important to the nation's defense than the men and women who fought the country's wars in the past."

The report was compiled with the advice of a steering committee packed with heavy-hitters in the national security arena, including Defense Secretary William Cohen, five former directors of the CIA and several members of Congress.

The report recommends that the president issue a new executive order outlining U.S. policy, including requiring a top-down review of existing organizations assigned responsibilities related to information warfare. It also recommends that the government identify a plan to ensure the continuity of services in the event of a cyberattack and that it work to forge a partnership with the private sector for preparing for such an attack.

Other recommendations include revamping U.S. intelligence operations and the military to prepare for the emerging electronic threats, which differ from the traditional threats posed to national security.

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1.58    The next Korean War?

1.58.1      Source: By Joseph Farah, WorldNetDaily

A story by three senior officers in Airpower Journal, the professional quarterly of the U.S. Air Force, portrays a turn-of-the-century scenario by which North Korea could cripple the United States through a combination of cyber-warfare and biological attack.

The article is written by U.S. Air Force captains Fred Kennedy, Rory Welch and Byron Fessler. It outlines, in fictional form, a successful North Korean campaign to inflict strategic paralysis on the United States through a combination of cyber and biological attacks.

"As outlined in the article, a combined cyber and biological strike would, indeed, inflict strategic paralysis on the United States, and, in my opinion, leave us unable to deal with a major international crisis," a senior intelligence officer told WorldNetDaily.

He added: "Imagine this scenario: With war in Korea looming, key U.S. computer networks suddenly crash. Banking and finance transactions grind to a halt. Much of the nation plunges into darkness when the power grid collapses. Information systems, including cable TV and the Internet, are no longer available. Meanwhile, there's a massive anthrax outbreak in the Northeast corridor, from New York to the nation's capital. Millions become ill, and thousands die, including the president, vice president and much of the Cabinet. Amid national panic, the 'new' president, formerly the Education secretary, suddenly learns that North Korean tanks are rolling toward Seoul, and a Chinese attack against Taiwan is underway. How do we respond? Could we recover from such an attack? Sound far-fetched? Believe me, it can--and may--happen."

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1.59    Limit weapons sales, Costa Rica's Arias urges

1.59.1      Source: Miami Herald

"The weapons industry has created fortunes tainted with blood," Nobel Peace Prize winner and former Costa Rican President Oscar Arias said as he condemned the world's $780 billion arms business. "We cannot let the free market rule international arms trade," Arias said, as he called for curbing the arms business during a speech at an information technology conference in Miami.

Arias questioned the wisdom of devoting so much of the world's resources to weapons of destruction. "People, especially in developing countries, need more schools and health clinics and not new helicopters or F-16 fighter planes," he said.

Noting that the United States is the largest arms exporter in the world, with 45 percent of all arms sales, Arias criticized the Clinton administration for lifting the ban on arms sales to Latin America, which was first implemented by former President Jimmy Carter. The U.S., Arias noted, "may be an economic superpower, may be a military superpower, but it is not a moral superpower as the world wants."

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1.60    Israeli army report suggests 1999 war

1.60.1      Source: Reuters

Israel's military intelligence branch believes that a deadlock in Middle East peacemaking has increased the likelihood of war in 1999, Israeli security sources said. Much of the appraisal is pegged to a target date of May 1999, when Palestinian President Yasser Arafat has said he will declare an independent Palestinian state if talks with Israel on the final status of the West Bank and Gaza are not completed.

Israel has said any unilateral Palestinian declaration of statehood would trigger a unilateral Israeli response, suggesting that Israel might annex parts of the West Bank and Gaza still under its control. The report said the Palestinians would likely mobilize violent street protests in response. The Palestinian Authority could simultaneously activate its 36,000 armed police against Israeli forces.

The report says Israel's arch-foe Syria was continuing to intensively upgrade its military capabilities and that the Syrian army had prepared several scenarios for hostilities with Israel, including a possible surprise attack on the Israeli-held Golan Heights in a bid to restart political talks on the fate of the strategic plateau.

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1.61    The "reunification of the motherland?"

1.61.1      Source: Time

On all the maps, the beautiful, bustling island 100 miles off the coast of China is clearly labeled: Taiwan. The swarms of tourists and businessmen who arrive at the cavernous Chiang Kai-shek International Airport know they have landed in Taiwan. Even hostile communist officials in Beijing sometimes refer to their old foes, the Nationalists, as "the authorities on Taiwan."

But if the government on the island should ever begin calling itself the Republic of Taiwan, signaling that it is declaring its full independence from the mainland, the most likely reply from the People's Republic of China across the straits would be a military attack and a war the U.S. would have trouble staying out of.

The uncomfortable truth is that Taiwan is already independent in all but name and that Beijing is sharpening its weapons to reverse the process. Last month Chinese President Jiang Zemin summoned his top officials for a three-day review of Taiwan policy and urged them to "speed up the reunification of the motherland."

Under U.S. tutelage Taiwan has modernized its economy, built a thriving democracy, opened up a free press. It is one of the world's leading trading nations and one of the most prosperous. And yet, by succeeding, Taiwan has become a problem for Washington. Taipei's dynamic de facto independence may one day trigger a Chinese ultimatum: blockade or attack. It will then be up to the U.S. to decide whether Taiwan's status quo has a future.

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1.62    A new kind of army for privatized global warfare

1.62.1      Source: By Anthony C. LoBaido, WorldNetDaily

Sitting on the patio of his lavish home in suburban Pretoria, Eeben Barlow poured tea and basked in the late summer sun, looking more like a successful businessman than a hardened, elite Special Forces operator of the now defunct Apartheid-era South African Defense Force (SADF). In fact, he is both.

At the center of Barlow's synthesis of commerce and soldiering skills is his highly successful private corporate army known as Executive Outcomes, or EO. The activities of EO, the clients it serves, and the global transnational corporate elite (including the DeBeers diamond cartel, Texaco and Gulf-Chevron) which fund its operations, offer an intriguing look into the realities of the emerging world order.

"As a private corporate entity, EO is able to operate without the restrictions of any particular nation's flag leading our soldiers into battle," says Barlow. "Organizations such as the UN and the Organization of African Unity (OAU) can make use of EO without partiality in negating the speedy resolution of conflict in any given country utilizing our services. Our employees have over five-thousand man years of military knowledge, combat and training experience."

EO is able to provide private counter-insurgency operations, peacekeeping forces, and the muscle for corporations to control gold and diamond mines, oil and other natural resources in a variety of failed states which stretch to the four corners of the world.

"We offer a variety of services to legitimate governments, including infantry training, clandestine warfare, counterintelligence programs, reconnaissance, escape and evasion, special forces selection and training and even parachuting," adds Barlow. EO is equipped with Soviet MiG fighter jets, Puma and East Bloc helicopters, state-of-the-art artillery, tanks and other armaments. Barlow pointed out that EO boasts an array of no less than 500 military advisors and 3,000 highly trained multi-national special forces soldiers.

In its short history, EO has fought in South and West Africa, South America, and the Far East. An example of one of its initial tasks was to assist a South American Drug Enforcement Agency in conducting "discretionary warfare" against local drug producers. Other EO operations, stretching from Angola to Sierra Leone to Sri Lanka and Papua New Guinea, always involve millions of dollars of cash payments augmented by mining, logging and oil rights to lucrative geologic deposits.

"It's kind of ironic that when Eeben fought for Apartheid, the white race, anti-communism and Christianity, he wound up without any money and was shoved out the door," says Willem Ratte, a former member of the elite Rhodesian Scouts and the man who trained and honed Barlow's superlative fighting skills. "Now that he's fighting on behalf of the interests of the multinational corporations, he's become a wealthy man," adds Ratte.

"We've undergone a paradigm shift in consciousness, in our interpretation of reality," says respected South African political analyst Ed Cain, editor of the erudite journal Signposts. "We are living in the post-Christian era. The free world and the 'former' communist world are being merged. There are no more countries, no more Japanese, no more Mexicans. There are only rich and poor, hi-tech and low-tech, Northern and Southern Hemisphere. It’s almost like a new form of virtual Apartheid."

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1.63    The Warriors and Weapons of The New Battlefields in Cyberspace

1.63.1      Source: by James Adams. Hutchinson. The Sunday Times

When I last fought, my troops battled the enemy with rifle, machine gun and grenade. They were supported by guns, mortars, tanks, planes and ships. Apart from adjusting to a few innovations, such as helicopters, a second-world-war company commander would not have felt out of place in the Falklands in 1982.

The next world war, according to James Adams, will out-Spielberg Spielberg. Soldiers will send wasp-sized robots to gas sentries at missile sites already reconnoitred by 4 inch-long, hand-launched, micro-aircraft powered by tiny whisper jets. Patrol commanders will communicate with headquarters by e-mail, using a wrist keyboard and screen. Aggression by, say, China, could be halted, thanks to previously implanted sensors and microchips in key computer-controlled systems.

Using WBOM (War By Other Means) the American president will be able to close down the telephone network in China and trigger drought in the Yangtze flood plain--all from a PC in Washington.

The name of the game is Information Warfare (IW): first, discovering what your opponent is up to; second, destroying his information-dependent systems; third, targeting his information resources. The motion and gunnery systems in Abrams tanks rely on 50 interdependent microprocessors. Disrupt their ability to communicate with each other, and the tank is junk.

Among the myriad technological gizmos that make Adams' predictions possible are Micro Electro-Mechanical Systems (Mems). They trigger the airbags in our cars, and the latest versions are the size of the period at the end of this sentence. Scientists in Albuquerque have already made robots the size of sugar cubes, and that is just the beginning. The possibilities are endless and America is a leader in the field.

So all is well, the baddies will be made offers they can't refuse, or zapped at no cost in lives. We can all relax and go holidaying in Tuscany, or whatever takes our fancy.

Not so, says Adams. In the IW game, the better you are at attack the more vulnerable you are to attack--like the Abrams tank. Technology can get into the "wrong" hands, terrorists, for example. Hackers can spoil your day. In other words, the enemy thinks, too.

Even identifying the "enemy" will be difficult if with a few keystrokes on a computer in Hong Kong, connected by modem and land-line to a remote satellite dish, someone can detonate bombs planted in Washington. How does the US strike back, and at whom? Lacking perception and will despite its power, America is, according to Adams, a Goliath waiting to be hacked down by a ruthless David.

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1.64    "We fear we are going to die," Kosovo refugees say

1.64.1      Source: Reuters

Serb PoliceFive women and 25 girls and boys living in a barn sobbed with hunger and one woman said winter might kill them if the world ignores the plight of Kosovo refugees. The women and children, from two large Kosovar clans, looked up blankly when a reporter peered through the door to find them sitting in a tight semi-circle next to a small heap of blankets and hay where they sleep.

Hatmane Vishaj, 78, a family matriarch, struggled to her feet to say no one else had visited them since they fled their burning village weeks ago and moved into the barn on the western edge of this southern Serbian province.

"We have almost nothing to eat or drink. We have nothing to sustain the children with. Winter is coming and we fear we are going to die. We are terribly afraid, especially on account of the children," she said, her voice quavering.

The women and children, and many thousands like them, are marooned in backwoods seldom if ever visited by aid agencies. They are refugees from a Serbian offensive against ethnic Albanian separatists that has driven an estimated 10 percent of Kosovo's two million people, 90 percent of them ethnic Albanians, from their homes and farms. And the nights are already turning cooler and wetter--harbinger of the long, freezing and snowbound Balkan winter.

"How can great countries leave us to our fate?" Vishaj said.

"Where is Europe? Don't they know about us? Why don't they deal with Slobodan Milosevic they way they did with Saddam Hussein?" cried Mehmetaj Ali, the father of eight in the barn.

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1.65    Making the world safe for hypocrisy

1.65.1      Source: Molly Ivins, Fort Worth Star-Telegram

We urge Pakistan and India to follow the path of restraint... This may be as good a time as any for a tour d'horizon of American hypocrisy about weapons around the world. During the Cold War, we became accustomed to the fact that America got in bed with what seemed to be every fascist kleptocrat on Earth. We were perennially arming monstrous dictators and backing tyrants who abused and stole from their own people.

All this was justified in the name of the great Realpolitik of stopping communism. Those of us who objected to arming nun-rapers and bishop-killers were patted on the head and told, tut-tut, it was all being done in the name of democracy, and the only dictator we needed to be upset about was Fidel Castro.

The Cold War has been over for almost nine years now. Some of the old dictators have died of natural causes: Mobutu Sese Seko, one of the most remarkable thieves we ever helped keep in power, is gone at last after three decades of raping his country.

But here we are with our knickers in a twist because India and Pakistan have just "joined the nuclear club" (such a curious euphemism). And who do you think helped get them there? We did, with hundreds of millions of dollars worth of arms sales. And now we're all concerned that India and Pakistan will go to war.

Ditto Cyprus, where peace talks are unraveling and the United States scrambles to sell jet fighters, tanks and missiles to both Turkey and Greece. Africa, the Middle East, Southeast Asia, Latin America, Central Asia, you name it--if there's a trouble spot in the world, we're busily profiting by selling arms to all sides.

According to Luke Warren of the Council for a Livable World, since the Cold War, the United States has become the world's largest arms dealer, selling, on average, $16.6 billion per year since 1991. And mind you, this trade is supported by taxpayer subsidies; last year, U.S. taxpayers provided $7.8 billion in corporate welfare to arms manufacturers to sell overseas.

William Hartung, an authority on global arms sales with the World Policy Institute and author of "And Weapons for All," has documented the presence of U.S.-supplied weapons in 39 of the world's 42 ongoing ethnic and territorial conflicts.

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1.66    The transformation of security

1.66.1      Source: by Michael Renner, Worldwatch

For 50 years, sustained by the cold war, "security" has been defined primarily in military terms. Backed by doomsday nuclear arsenals, the cold war adversaries were locked in mortal competition.

But now that the cold war has faded away, a very different struggle for survival is emerging. After the slaying of the cold war dragon, James Woolsey, former head of the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency, compared the future to living in a jungle inhabited by a bewildering variety of poisonous snakes. There has been a shift from war between sovereign states to fighting within societies.

Since the end of World War II, there have been at least 130 wars, killing more than 23 million people directly and another 20 million through famine and other war-related disruptions. Whereas the number of major wars--killing at least 1,000 persons--stood at around a dozen in any given year during the fifties, and rose no higher than 20 a year during the sixties and seventies, it surged at the beginning of the eighties to more than 30, where it has remained ever since.

And as many countries may be bordering on war as are actually engaged in it. The post-cold war era is increasingly witnessing a phenomenon of what some have called "failed states"--the implosion of countries like Rwanda, Somalia, Yugoslavia, and others. Several other countries are among the ranks of what Professor James Rosenau of George Washington University calls "adrift nation-states"--countries that "have lost their moorings and may well be moving toward the edge of failure."

The outbreak of civil wars and the collapse of entire societies is being ascribed to the resurfacing of "ancient ethnic hatreds" revolving around seemingly irreconcilable religious and cultural differences. Professor Samuel Huntington of Harvard University went so far as to postulate a coming "clash of civilizations"--ethnically motivated communal violence. Some 40 percent of all countries have populations from five or more different "nations." Roughly half of the world's countries have experienced some kind of interethnic strife in recent years.

Bosnia, Rwanda, and Somalia have shown that the abundance and easy availability of arms can turn social and political upheaval into a violent disintegration of entire countries, triggering devastation on a massive scale. Although the public impression of the Rwandan conflict, for example, is mainly one of machete-wielding individuals on a rampage, the killing was in fact also conducted with machine guns, grenades, mortars, and land mines purchased from France, Egypt, South Africa, and another dozen or so arms suppliers that rushed in "like vultures to a carcass," as Stephen Goose and Frank Smyth of the Human Rights Watch Arms Project wrote in Foreign Affairs.

The twentieth century has seen the pursuit of "national security" elevated to near theological levels; modern military technology has dramatically increased the destructive power of weaponry, the range and speed of delivery vehicles, and the sophistication of targeting technologies. Yet arms ostensibly designed to enhance security increasingly imperil humanity's survival. We live in what is the most violent time in human history: the twentieth century accounts for 75 percent of all war deaths inflicted since the rise of the Roman Empire

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1.67    Missiles stay at the ready

1.67.1      Source: New York Times News Service

Burns, Wyo. -- Awesome nuclear power still sleeps below the Great Plains in mid-America. Many of the weapons, and their keepers, still remain on watch.

It is easy to forget that the U.S. military still spends about $28 billion a year to keep about 7,500 nuclear warheads ready for use. This is roughly the equivalent of 145,000 Hiroshima bombs.

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1.68    Russia's nuclear arsenal not in check

1.68.1      Source: MSNBC

Bologoye, Russia -- Deep below ground in a hardened nuclear-command bunker, Cmdr. Alexander Kapryushkin of Russia's Strategic Rocket Forces has his finger on Russia's nuclear button.

The days of Cold War confrontation are over, but down in the bunker, 34-year-old Kapryushkin still sees America as Russia's enemy. "We can clearly see that the imperialist world, led by the United States, is rapidly advancing toward us," he says with conviction. "Their goal is to destroy our state."

Russia's estimated 6,000 nuclear warheads are no longer aimed at the United States, but they are capable of being re-targeted in a few minutes. An SS-25 missile of the type that Kapryushkin controls from his bunker at the Bologoye rocket base north of Moscow can obliterate an American city just ten minutes after launch. And the ability to launch the missiles lies literally at the fingertips of low-level officers like Kapryushkin. There's no fail-safe system to prevent an accidental launch or keep a rogue commander from triggering nuclear Armageddon.

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1.69    Beijing "sees US as waning superpower"

1.69.1      Source: AFP

The mainland Chinese leadership holds "dangerous misperceptions" about US military power and intentions that could lead to political friction and even military conflict, a report prepared for the Pentagon warns. The study found that the United States was perceived to be weak militarily, in decline as a superpower and yet actively trying to subvert and dismember China.

"We already see evidence that China considers a future war with the US sufficiently plausible to be openly discussed," the report said. "Worse still, Chinese military books and journals in the 1990s have begun to discuss the necessity of taking military action against a more powerful opponent in certain circumstances."

In describing US weakness, Chinese military writers asserted that the US barely won the Gulf War, that it could not "contain" Chinese power and had only a 30 percent chance of winning a war in Asia, the study said.

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1.70    Woman says Virgin Mary warned of war

1.70.1      Source: UPI

CONYERS, Ga.  -- A Georgia woman, in an annual message to the faithful who gathered on a farm east of Atlanta, says the Virgin Mary has warned of a "great war."

Nancy Fowler read a message to more than 30,000 people, which she says she received from the Virgin Mary. She said: "I come with a serious warning. A great war will come upon this world, greater than man has ever known. Pray, children, pray. Amend your ways, please."

Fowler says she began getting messages from the Virgin Mary in 1990. The messages were monthly, then came once a year. Fowler now says next year's message will be her last.

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1.71    Vatican criticizes culture of war

1.71.1      Source: CWN

"Nuclear weapons are incompatible with peace in the 21st century," said Archbishop Renato Martino, the Vatican's permanent observer to the United Nations. He asked the member-nations to definitively banish those weapons as well as anti-personnel mines, of which there are an estimated 100 million deployed worldwide and which continue to kill "26,000 innocents each year."

Archbishop Martino enumerated the "rising cost" of the "culture of war": "Since the end of the Cold War, the governments of the world have spent 800 billion dollars annually on military concerns and maintained armies of 27 million soldiers."

He said that the only notable recent "decrease" in spending was recorded in the region of the former Warsaw Pact, while the NATO countries have only reduced their levels of military spending by "10 percent" since 1987. In addition, he added that developed countries are responsible for "90 percent of the $22 billion in arm sales generated each year." Archbishop Martino said that even as "developed countries spend $221 billion per year on their armed forces … 60 percent of human beings live on less than $2 per day … and more than 100 countries today are finding themselves in worse circumstances than 10 years ago. In the end, between 12 and 18 million people starve or are undernourished each year."

"Budget priorities," said the archbishop, "should be reviewed so that life is supported and not the funding of death."

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1.72     Israel has sixth largest nuclear arsenal.

1.72.1    (The Age Melbourne)

Israel is ranked sixth among the world's nations with nuclear weapons in a secret document written by the U.S. Department of Energy. The paper says that Israel has 300 kilograms to 500 kilograms of weapons-grade plutonium, which it says is enough to produce at least 250 nuclear warheads. By comparison, Russia, which ranks first, has 140 tons of the material, while the U.S. has 85 tons. Britain has 7.6 tons, France six tons to seven tons, and China 1.7 tons to 2.8 tons. Israel ranks ahead of India, which has 150 kilograms to 250 kilograms, and North Korea, which has 23 kilograms to 35 kilograms of weapons-grade plutonium.

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1.73                    21st century must be more peaceful, humane.

1.73.1       (Reuters)

Calling the 20th century the most murderous in human history, UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan said the 21st must be made more peaceful and humane. "It is shocking to think that half of us--3 billion out of the 6 billion--are entering the new era in abject poverty, with $3 a day, or less, to live on," he said. "That is one thing we really must change. The 20th century has been the most murderous in human history. We must make sure the 21st is more peaceful, and more humane," he declared in a message to mark United Nations Day.

 

1.74     How humanitarian is it to kill people for killing people?

1.74.1    Charley Reese, The Orlando Sentinel

To purport to go to war for humanitarian purposes is a contradiction in terms. Nothing is more inhumane than war. To state that you are going to kill people and destroy their homes and jobs for humanitarian reasons is insanely hypocritical.

It's about as nutty as a Special Weapons and Tactics (SWAT) team warning some guy who is threatening to kill himself that, if he doesn't surrender, they will kill him. That actually happens. Making war for humanitarian reasons is like ending a hunger strike by withholding food.

It plain makes no sense to create human misery in the name of stopping human misery. These days language is being mutilated more than even George Orwell could imagine.

Humanitarian, once a legitimate word that meant promoting human welfare, is now the fashionable excuse to send in military forces for the express purpose of injuring the human welfare of whatever faction our government or the United Nations decides to call the enemy.

I would call the unnecessary deaths of 500,000 Iraqi children (that's a United Nations figure, not mine) a humanitarian crisis. We are the cause of that, and we could end it with nothing more than four words: The embargo is lifted. But, of course, the U.S. government will not speak those words. It will not even admit responsibility for the deaths.

After being called on its obvious inconsistency (all humanitarian crises are equal, but some apparently are more equal than others), the government now boldly proclaims that of course it's inconsistent. That's really weird.

Imagine asking someone why he or she was acting in an inconsistent manner and have that person reply, “Well, of course, I have to be inconsistent.” Where's the guy with the net--or maybe a straitjacket would be better--when you need him?

The current administration apparently sees the U.S. military as a sort of globalist foreign legion that can be asked to dig sewers in Haiti, shoot people in Somalia, and bomb them in Serbia, Sudan, Afghanistan, Iraq and anywhere else when the president needs a diversion.

As for humanitarian crises, that's what the Red Cross is for. If you want to promote human welfare, send food and medicine, not soldiers and bombs.

1.75     A world of superpowers?

1.75.1    Joseph Sobran, Universal Press Syndicate

In the post-Cold War world, a nation-state may soon have to possess nuclear weapons in order to ensure its own sover-eignty.

The reason is not far to seek. Strong countries have always attacked weak ones, and nuclear weapons have vastly increased the ratio of strength to weakness. This is why the United States can now invade and bomb small countries without the slightest fear of retaliation. If Slobodan Milosevic had nukes, does anyone think the U.S. would be bombing Yugoslavia?

The lesson other governments are drawing from American foreign policy is not that America is righteous, but that, as a practical matter, America recognizes no limit on its right to make war for allegedly moral reasons, never mind the sovereignty of the target countries. By that standard, Russia (think of Chechnya) and China (think of Tibet) would be eligible for American bombing if they didn’t have nuclear arsenals. And plenty of smaller countries in which minorities are persecuted might qualify as well as  Yugoslavia, which just happens to be the current target.

Given all this, the prospect for the next century is a world where every government aspires to a nuclear arsenal—if only to protect its sovereignty against the United States.